María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
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Generic congressional ballot on Oct 26, 2026?
The odds
8.4%median
8.05%8.75%
Median 8.4%Middle half 8.37% – 8.43%
How the odds have moved
Median: 8.42% on Oct 26, 8.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 8.1% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 553 | ||
| 8.1% | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.5K | |
| 8.2% | 1% | ▼ 5 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 319 | |
| 8.3% | 1% | ▼ 5 | 1¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 176 |
| 8.4% | 86% | ▲ 32 | 73¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.1K |
| 8.5% | 1% | ▼ 14 | 29¢ | $3.45 | 241 | |
| 8.6% | 6% | ▼ 8 | 10¢ | $10.00 | 23.00 | |
| 8.7% | 1% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 71.00 | |
| Above 8.7% | 1% | ▼ 5 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Generic
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Generic brain exercises may not help brain fog as much as you think, expert saysEstrogen loss during menopause can affect verbal memory, processing speed and focus. A neurologist shares why targeted brain exercises may be more helpful than random cognitive games for addressing specific challenges. Generic brain… -
Amid row, Keralam’s UDF govt says cost of generic SMA drug can be cut furtherPublished - October 26, 2026 01:54 pm IST - THIRUVANANTHAPURAM The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) government in Keralam on Monday strongly defended the switch to a generic drug for patients with spinal muscular atrophy (SMA)… -
Democrats Maintain Lead on Generic BallotA new CBS News/YouGov poll finds Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, 53% to 45%. Generic Congressional Ballot Democrats 53% Republicans 45% CBS News/YouGov poll · likely voters · ±3% A new CBS News/YouGov… -
Can You Use A Generic 18650 Battery On A Ryobi USB Lithium Tool?It's important to know that Ryobi warns users not to disassemble the battery pack or remove any of its components. While Ryobi's guidelines do not specifically mention the 18650 battery, the brand's ... Can You Use A Generic 18650 Battery… -
KSSP supports distribution of generic drugs for SMA patients in KeralamUpdated - October 25, 2026 01:27 pm IST - Kozhikode The Kerala Sastra Sahitya Parishad (KSSP) has supported the Kerala Health Department’s decision to provide a low-cost generic version of the drug Risdiplam to patients afflicted with… -
First Generic Weekly Estrogen-Progestin Patch Wins FDA Approval as Women Still Struggle to Fill Menopause PrescriptionsThe FDA has approved the first generic version of Climara Pro, a once-weekly skin patch that combines estrogen and a progestin for women going through menopause. The FDA announcement said Zydus Pharmaceuticals' patch, which delivers 0.045… -
The agent replaced the specific error with a generic one, and lost the clue that named the failureWhen a model is told to centralize or unify error handling, it tends to move toward a short, uniform string. Specific detail reads as clutter in a shared helper: a run id, an account, a threshold, a comparison of available against… -
How serial patent litigation delays cheaper generic drugsAs a physician caring for patients in New Orleans, I see the consequences of America’s prescription drug affordability crisis every day. Many of my patients need essential medications like insulin, blood thinners, and inhalers to manage… -
How We Structured a Medicine Comparison Table for Patients (and What We Learned About Generic Naming)Comparison tables look like the easiest component on any product site. Rows, columns, done. Then you try to build one for medicines and discover that the data model is the hard part, not the CSS. We work on the catalogue for a supplier of… - Generic Pulmonary Hypertension DrugsZydus and MSN Launch the First U.S. Generic Riociguat Image Credit: Zydus Lifesciences Limited Atebrioz Targets the Disease-Driving Pathway Behind FOP The Pression Wave PRO Provides Mobile External Counterpulsation Fildena 50 Delivers…
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Phathom falls as FDA sued over refusal to accept ANDA for generic VoqueznaPhathom stock fell 18% after BDR sued the FDA over Voquezna exclusivity through 2032. Read more here. - Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) closed Friday down 18% after an Indian pharma company sued the US FDA for refusing to accept an… -
Western Europe Super Generics Market: Germany to Register a CAGR of 3.6% Through 2035The global super generics market is projected to grow from USD 252 69 billion in 2026 to USD 509 03 billion by 2036 registering a compound annual growth rate CAGR of 7 3 according to Future Market Insights FMI The ... Western Europe Super…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions