Where will Drake perform in 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Jan 8, 2027 · $5.7K traded · $4.8K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

25%Madison Square Garden

Madison Square Garden25%
SoFi Stadium13%▼ 1
Mercedes-Benz Stadium12%▼ 1
Rogers Centre10%▼ 1
Soldier Field9%
Wembley Stadium9%
AT&T Stadium8%
MetLife Stadium8%▼ 1
Hard Rock Stadium7%

How the odds have moved

Madison Square Garden: 25% on Oct 20, 25% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
✓ Scotiabank Arena	96%				$1.04	5.0K
Madison Square Garden	25%		22¢	30¢	$3.33	1.7K
SoFi Stadium	13%	▼ 1	9¢	17¢	$5.88	1.3K
Mercedes-Benz Stadium	12%	▼ 1	8¢	17¢	$5.88	440
Rogers Centre	10%	▼ 1	6¢	15¢	$6.67	124
Soldier Field	9%		5¢	13¢	$7.69	507
Wembley Stadium	9%		5¢	13¢	$7.69	7.00
AT&T Stadium	8%		5¢	12¢	$8.33	190
MetLife Stadium	8%	▼ 1	5¢	11¢	$9.09	1.8K
Hard Rock Stadium	7%		3¢	12¢	$8.33	104

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Drake, Madison Square Garden, SoFi Stadium

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onThe Source Agencies are, Drake's Official Website

Trading closesJan 8, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$5.7K (11,174 contracts)

This week$5.7K

At stake$4.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Drake performs at Madison Square Garden in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.