#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes tomorrow 11:59 PM ET · $2K today · $22.5K traded · $12.3K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

85%Choosin' Texas
  • Choosin' Texas85%▼ 9
  • Patient Zero16%
  • Housewife2%▼ 42
  • Boston<1%
  • Been By Now<1%
  • Solar Eclipse<1%
  • hate that i made you love me<1%
  • stupid song<1%
  • Nicole Kidman<1%
  • BbY WOW<1%
  • Quebec<1%
  • I Just Might<1%
8 more
  • Babydoll<1%
  • Risk It All<1%
  • BE HER<1%
  • LAST THING YOU NEED<1%
  • Midnight Sun<1%
  • LOVING LIFE AGAIN<1%
  • Earrings<1%
  • Expectations<1%

How the odds have moved

Choosin' Texas: 91% on Oct 20, 85% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETChoosin' Texas: 95% → 65%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Choosin' Texas 85% ▼ 9 85¢ 98¢ $1.02 26.2K
Patient Zero 16% 22¢ $4.55 2.0K
Housewife 2% ▼ 42 2¢ 16¢ $6.25 4.5K
Boston <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Been By Now <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Solar Eclipse <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
hate that i made you love me <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
stupid song <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Nicole Kidman <1% 1¢ $100.00 364
BbY WOW <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Quebec <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
I Just Might <1% 1¢ $100.00 194
Babydoll <1% 1¢ $100.00 287
Risk It All <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
BE HER <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
LAST THING YOU NEED <1% 1¢ $100.00 101
Midnight Sun <1% 1¢ $100.00 334
LOVING LIFE AGAIN <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Earrings <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Expectations <1% 1¢ $100.00 540

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Billboard Hot, Choosin' Texas, Patient Zero

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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $13.8K today

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KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $4.9K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.