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#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
The odds
- Choosin' Texas85%▼ 9
- Patient Zero16%
- Housewife2%▼ 42
- Boston<1%
- Been By Now<1%
- Solar Eclipse<1%
- hate that i made you love me<1%
- stupid song<1%
- Nicole Kidman<1%
- BbY WOW<1%
- Quebec<1%
- I Just Might<1%
8 more
- Babydoll<1%
- Risk It All<1%
- BE HER<1%
- LAST THING YOU NEED<1%
- Midnight Sun<1%
- LOVING LIFE AGAIN<1%
- Earrings<1%
- Expectations<1%
How the odds have moved
Choosin' Texas: 91% on Oct 20, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETChoosin' Texas: 95% → 65%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas | 85% | ▼ 9 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 26.2K |
| Patient Zero | 16% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.0K | ||
| Housewife | 2% | ▼ 42 | 2¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 4.5K |
| Boston | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Been By Now | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Solar Eclipse | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| hate that i made you love me | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| stupid song | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Nicole Kidman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 364 | ||
| BbY WOW | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Quebec | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| I Just Might | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 194 | ||
| Babydoll | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 287 | ||
| Risk It All | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| BE HER | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| LAST THING YOU NEED | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 101 | ||
| Midnight Sun | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 334 | ||
| LOVING LIFE AGAIN | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Earrings | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Expectations | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 540 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Billboard Hot, Choosin' Texas, Patient Zero
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Ella Langley – Choosin' TexasElla Langley turns a simple two-step into the biggest song in America with “Choosin’ Texas,” a track that has completely dominated the charts since its release. The song arrived on October 17, 2025, as part of her album “Dandelion,” and it… -
Choosin’ Texas: Eli Lilly breaks ground at Houston oral GLP-1 manufacturing siteThe Lone Star State will host one of ten planned facilities in the US by the pharmaceutical conglomerate. Earlier this week, Eli Lilly announced it broke ground on a large site in Houston, Texas. The location will be one of ten US… -
Cara Delevingne shares rare bts of Taylor Swift's 'Patient Zero'Published October 22, 2026 Cara Delevingne didn’t need much convincing to join Taylor Swift’s latest music video — one phone call did the trick. The model, 34, and singer makes a surprise appearance in Swift’s Patient Zero video, starring… -
What is Shamonda virus? Patient zero dies in FranceALBAWABA - France confirmed on Thursday the first human death from the shamonda virus, which so far has been limited to livestock. Despite the death of patient zero, the government in France said that there is no health risk to the… - Cara Delevingne reveals how she became part of Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ music videoLOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA: Cara Delevingne has revealed how she got the opportunity to be a part of Taylor Swift’s music video for ‘Patient Zero’. The 34-year-old stars in it alongside Dakota Johnson and Colin Farrell. During an interview…
- Cara Delevingne Reveals How She Ended Up in Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video - IMDbCara Delevingne Reveals How She Ended Up in Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video IMDb
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Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ VideoLangley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue reading… Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video Langley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Matches Mariah Carey’s 26-Week Streaming RecordCountry music continues to hold a strong presence on the streaming charts, with Ella Langley’s Choosin’ Texas maintaining its position among the most-played songs in the United States. The single has now spent 26 weeks at No. 1 on… -
Why Ella Langley Chose Kaitlin Butts to Play the Mean Girl in Her ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video [Exclusive]Kaitlin Butts isn't scared of a fight. During a recent conversation with Taste of Country, the singer admitted that it's kind of a running joke in her touring band that she won't let bad behavior slide. She doesn't start conflict, she… -
Ella Langley Pays Tribute to Dolly Parton With Smoldering Version of ‘Jolene’Ella Langley performed 'Jolene' at the 'I Will Always Love You' Dolly Parton tribute concert in Nashville on Oct. 21. Leave it to country’s current record holder to tackle one of Dolly Parton’s most famous (and frequently covered) songs… -
Cara Delevingne reveals Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ secretAfter coming up with the concept for Patient Zero, Taylor Swift immediately enlisted the help of her friends Dakota Johnson and Cara Delevingne. Delevingne described her first response when the 36-year-old pop star contacted her: “I… - Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video Celebrity Cameos: Who You Might’ve Missed in the Footage! - IMDbTaylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video Celebrity Cameos: Who You Might’ve Missed in the Footage! IMDb
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FRESH: First Week Streams (FRESH | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026)
Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
Dopamine Chamber: First Week Album Equivalent Units (Dopamine Chamber | October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.