Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? (Before Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Nov 2 · $239 traded · $130 at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

16%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 17% on Oct 19, 16% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 16% ▼ 1 12¢ 20¢ $5.00 1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: USPS

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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

>99%Transgender 5+ times
  • Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
  • SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
  • Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
  • Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
  • Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
  • Ass1%▼ 64
  • Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
  • Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
  • Animal1%▼ 62
  • Drag Show1%▼ 64
  • Maduro1%▼ 26
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
  • Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
  • America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
  • Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
  • Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
  • -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%▼ 1
  • Mohammed bin Salman78%▼ 2
  • Kim Jong Un17%▼ 12
11 more
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko11%▼ 1
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • King Mohammed VI8%▼ 2
  • iShowSpeed6%▲ 3
  • Lai Ching-te5%▲ 1
  • Pope Leo XIV5%
  • MrBeast5%
  • Nick Fuentes3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Nicolás Maduro2%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.