South Dakota corn yield in 2026
151.6median
120185
Median 151.6Middle half 146.7 – 156.9
Install
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
The odds
181.2median
177.6181.2
Median 181.2Middle half 181.2 – 181.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 181.2 on Oct 19, 181.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 181.2 bu/acre | 51% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 137 |
| Above 181.2 bu/acre | 45% | 42¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 4.00 | |
| Exactly 181.2 bu/acre | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 70.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: USDA
Search ›-
USDA Farm Diesel Relief Payments Expected After November Election(NAFB.com) – Farmers waiting for federal assistance to offset rising diesel costs may not receive payments until after the November election. USDA’s $8 billion Harvest Fuel Relief Program is intended to help agricultural producers manage… -
NASA, USDA Sign Agreement Advancing Earth Science, AgricultureNASA and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) have signed a Memorandum of Understanding expanding cooperation in Earth observation, geospatial analytics, and advanced data technologies, supporting USDA’s data modernization plan for… -
USDA invests more than $75 million in South Dakota rural communitiesRAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - More than $75 million in federal loans and grants went toward housing, infrastructure, education and other projects across South Dakota during fiscal year 2026, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The… -
USDA expands disaster assistance for Vermont farmers and timber producersThe U.S. Department of Agriculture is expanding disaster assistance to Vermont farmers and timber producers. Producers can now apply through a USDA-funded block grant. Vermont has received more than $30 million from the Farm Service Agency… -
USDA food safety chief touts Wisconsin meat processing strengthWisconsin's extensive network of meat-processing facilities and inspection programs positions the state as a national model for expanding market access while maintaining food safety standards, according to Dr. Mindy Brashears, USDA under… -
Intrepid Potash selected for $139M in proposed USDA funding for New Mexico potash projectIntrepid Potash said it was selected for $139M in proposed US Department of Agriculture funding toward a $265M project to construct a sulfate of potash manufacturing facility in New Mexico. iamporpla/iStock via Getty Images Intrepid Potash… -
Utah farmers face renewable energy hurdles under new USDA rulesA new federal rule could make it harder for Utah farmers to finance projects related to clean energy. The regulations require farmers to complete projects and document a year of energy savings before applying for funding. The U.S… -
Secretary Rollins and NASA Administrator Isaacman Sign MOU to advance USDA Data Modernization PlanThe scope of cooperation under this MOU may include, but is not limited to, agricultural statistics, remote sensing science, modeling, geospatial data engineering, and super intelligence/machine learning (SI/ML) supported by the… -
USDA: Tribal Advisory Committee Appointments Announced; Nominations Open for Additional Members(Washington, D.C., October 23, 2026, USDA) – The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) today announced the appointment of four members to the USDA Tribal Advisory Committee and a call for nominations to serve on the Committee. U.S… - NASA, USDA Sign Deal Giving Farmers Satellite Data to Boost Crop EstimatesNASA and the U.S. Department of Agriculture signed a memorandum of understanding this week aimed at giving American farmers and ranchers broader access to satellite data that already underpins crop forecasts and yield estimates. The…
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USDA Announces Tribal Advisory Committee Appointments and Opens Nominations for Additional MembersOfficial websites use .govA .gov Website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Providing a safety net for millions of Americans who are food-insecure and for developing and promoting dietary guidance based on… - USDA: $5 Billion SPUR Guaranteed Loan Program to Expand Processing for American Ranchers and Fishermen(Washington, D.C., October 23, 2026, USDA) – Today, President Donald J. Trump announced the launch of the America First Seafood Strategy (PDF, 11.4 MB) and several actions the Trump Administration is taking to support the American seafood…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions