The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 3.95 billion
94%
89¢
99¢
$1.01
321
Above 4 billion
86%
▲ 1
81¢
90¢
$1.11
27.00
Above 4.05 billion
79%
74¢
84¢
$1.19
15.00
Above 4.1 billion
63%
58¢
67¢
$1.49
686
Above 4.15 billion
48%
43¢
52¢
$1.92
261
Above 4.2 billion
32%
27¢
37¢
$2.70
8.00
Above 4.25 billion
21%
17¢
24¢
$4.17
13.00
Above 4.3 billion
9%
7¢
10¢
$10.00
36.00
Above 4.35 billion
7%
▲ 1
2¢
11¢
$9.09
119
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Instacart reportedly discussed selling itself with DoorDash and UberTechCrunch · 31 h agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Instacart might sell itself to a larger competitor, according to multiple news reports The Information reported Friday that the grocery delivery company has hired an…
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Instacart (CART) Stock Jumps 9% as Uber and DoorDash Reportedly CircleCoinCentral · 10 h agoInstacart (CART) stock closed about 9% higher on Friday, Oct. 23, after reports said the company is exploring a sale. The stock is up more than 25% this year, while DoorDash (DASH) is down more than 20%. The Information reported that…
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Instacart Is Exploring a Sale, and Uber and DoorDash Are Circling24/7 Wall St. · 30 h agoInstacart's stock surged after reports that grocery delivery's biggest rivals are circling the company for a potential acquisition, but one named buyer has already walked away and the other carries serious antitrust baggage. Shares of…
Instacart Sale Talks with Uber and DoorDash Push Stock Up 9%@analyticsinme · 34 h agoGrocery delivery company Instacart is weighing a possible sale after preliminary discussions with Uber and DoorDash. The Information reported Friday, October 23, citing people familiar with the matter. The report sent Instacart shares up…
Uber driver jailed after running over passengerBBC News · 4 days agoAn Uber driver who ran over a passenger after the man vomited in his car has been jailed for five years. Hayadulla Turkmani, 53, was convicted of causing death by dangerous driving following a trial at Basildon Crown Court. The jury heard…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions