Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? (Before 2027)
The odds
5%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 79.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Fed chair, Federal Reserve chair, Powell
Search ›-
Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Warsh as Rate Hikes Threaten StocksAccording to The Motley Fool, escalating tensions between the White House and the central bank could put additional pressure on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. Markets are pricing in a 64% probability that… -
Prediction Pulse: Kalshi, Polymarket bet on Hassett for Fed chair, plus recession and dildosWelcome to the very first edition of Prediction Pulse, your weekly dive into what people are betting on, and the big numbers driving those wagers. Since then, things have snowballed. Elon Musk’s xAI has teamed up with Kalshi. Donald Trump… -
President Donald Trump Just Threw Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Under the Bus, and Things Could Get Ugly for Wall StreetWhile investors have come to appreciate Trump's Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which lowered the peak marginal corporate income tax rate from 35% to 21% and spurred record S&P 500 share buybacks, not everything the president has done has benefited… -
Assessing Jerome Powell's eight years as Fed chairHere are some highlights from the conversation. The Fed moved from trade war uncertainty to pandemic collapse, from supply chain breakdown to an inflation surge, from regional bank stress to direct political pressure on the institution… -
The Latest Inflation Data Spells Bad News for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the Stock MarketThe CPI rose at an annualized rate of 3.4% in August, prompting the Fed to hike rates for the first time in three years at its September meeting. Fed chairman Kevin Warsh also warned more rate increases might be on the way if inflation… -
Warsh likely to signal more rate hikes as inflation remains persistentFed Chair Kevin Warsh may reinforce higher-for-longer rates as inflation stays sticky. aimintang/iStock via Getty Images Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is likely to signal that recent economic data have done little to ease concerns over… -
Powell scores 25 points to help the Bulls hold off the Bucks, 132-125October 23, 2026 / 6:37 PM CDT / AP Norman Powell had 25 points, rookie Caleb Wilson added 21 and the Chicago Bulls beat the Milwaukee Bucks 132-125 on Friday. The game was played four hours earlier than originally scheduled because of the… -
BOE’s Bailey Defends Speaking Out Over Trump Attacks on Powell(Bloomberg) -- Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said he was right to defend then-Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from Donald Trump's attacks and would do so again. Trump Uses Slur to Defend GOP Senator in Combative Speech Punches… -
Is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh About To Pop CoreWeave's Bubble?CoreWeave (CRWV -0.44%) has taken center stage in the AI bubble debate. Concerns about CoreWeave brought down the broader chip and tech sectors last week, and the stock could continue to serve as an avatar for the broader AI sector as… -
What Lies At The Bottom Of Lake PowellNearby in Fiftymile Canyon, Gregory Natural Bridge also disappeared beneath Lake Powell. Its opening reemerged in 2021 after decades of submersion. Low water allowed boats to pass beneath the sandstone span, where higher reservoir water… -
Adding to 2 Holdings After Earnings, PMI UpdatesCustomer spending plans drive one move, while the domestic manufacturing economy does the other. After you receive this alert, the Portfolio will make the following trades: Buy 100 shares of Arista Networks (ANET) at or near $174… -
Coan and Powell duel in battle of the back-ups at MosaicIt is a battle of back-up quarterbacks Saturday at Mosaic Stadium, as the Saskatchewan Roughriders send Jack Coan and the Edmonton Elks call on Taylor Powell under centre.
Related markets
All trump administration ›Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
26%December 31
- October 3111%▲ 1
- December 3126%▼ 7
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.