Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
The odds
3%Hunter Biden
- Hunter Biden3%
- Anyone2%
- Mike Lindell2%
- Enrique Tarrio2%
- Michael Caputo2%
- Kash Patel1%
How the odds have moved
Hunter Biden: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Biden | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 455 | |
| Anyone | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 11.8K | |
| Mike Lindell | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.6K | ||
| Enrique Tarrio | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 22.1K | |
| Michael Caputo | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $30.30 | 10.0K | |
| Kash Patel | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: U.S. Department of Justice, Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund, Anti-Weaponization Fund
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U.S. Department of Justice Charges 28 Green Card Holders in California for Alleged Voter FraudThe U.S. Department of Justice has charged 28 green card holders in California with allegations of voter fraud. The charges were announced on October 19, 2026, highlighting serious accusations against these permanent residents who are… - Statement from Dean Logan Regarding U.S. Department of Justice Lawsuit(213) 974-1234 GENERAL INFO LOS ANGELES — Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk (RR/CC) Dean C. Logan issued the following statement in response to litigation filed today by the U.S. Department of Justice concerning voter…
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Ex-Prince Andrew Faces New Epstein Pressure if Democrats Win MidtermsOct 19, 2026 at 12:38 PM EDT A Democrat surge in the midterms could create new problems for Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, including the removal of redactions from the Epstein Files and a fresh push for documents from U.K. police, a former… -
11 green card holders arrested in California for allegedly registering to vote illegallyOctober 19, 2026 / 3:53 PM PDT / CBS LA Federal prosecutors on Monday, 15 days before midterm elections, announced the arrest of 11 individuals living in California accused of allegedly illegally registering to vote in U.S. federal… -
Crypto exchanges Binance, Coinbase join West Africa scam sweep that flagged $11 millionAuthorities in Ghana and Nigeria arrested 28 people in a crackdown on West African scam networks that included cryptocurrency investment fraud, the U.S. Department of Justice said in a statement. The operation also identified 117… -
Trump Administration Warns Los Angeles County Officials Over Noncitizen Ballot TabulationPublished 20 Oct 2026, 05:47 UTC Earlier on this story14 Oct: Trump Administration Threatens California Election Officials Over Alleged Noncitizens On Los Angeles Voter Rolls Federal prosecutors charged 28 people with illegal registration… -
Trump's attack on California voting is false, and a bit funnyIn what may be one of the most comical self-owns in recent politics, the esteemed attorneys of the U.S. Department of Justice announced Monday that despite the extravagant and terrifying misuse of their investigative power under the Trump… -
Justice Department Announces Settlement Ending Antisemitism and Race Discrimination at UNCThis week the U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Rights Division and the U.S. Department of Education, Office for Civil Rights (ED-OCR) entered a voluntary university-wide settlement agreement with the University of North Carolina at Chapel… -
Sen. Lee defends Trump DOJ after Utah Lt. Gov. calls federal government ‘threat’ to electionsUtah Lt. Gov. Deidre Henderson said in an episode of “60 Minutes” over the weekend that the real threat to state elections is not voter fraud but the federal government. The U.S. Department of Justice notified Henderson in September she is… -
Dothan Proposal Seeks Grant for 52 Body Armor PurchasesDOTHAN, Ala. (WDNews) — A proposed city resolution would authorize Dothan to apply for $15,142.40 in federal funding to help purchase 52 units of body armor for law enforcement officers. According to city agenda documents, the purchases… -
DOJ reaches settlement with Mississippi police department it found routinely violated civil rightsThe Washington Post JACKSON, Miss. — The U.S. Department of Justice announced Friday it reached a settlement forcing reforms in a Mississippi city and its police department, which the DOJ found discriminated against Black people, used… -
State representative appointed new U.S. attorney for the District of IdahoIdaho State representative John Shirts, R-Weiser, has been appointed as United States Attorney for the District of Idaho, being sworn in at a private ceremony y BOISE, Idaho (CBS2) — Idaho State representative John Shirts, R-Weiser, has…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.