María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 90
- December 3199%▲ 67
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Will Trump visit the Pentagon again? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
45%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Dec 1, 202625%
- Before Jan 1, 202726%
- Before Jul 1, 202745%
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 26% on Oct 19, 25% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 943 | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pentagon
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New Pentagon UFO files detail sightings over Catalina IslandOctober 23, 2026 / 10:58 PM PDT / CBS LA A new batch of files from the Pentagon detailed apparent UFO sightings over Catalina Island in the 1940s and 1950s. A report from three Boy Scouts in August 1952 says the group claimed to see a… -
The Pentagon's guidelines for "responsible AI" aren't always followed, report showsThree of the Pentagon projects surveyed by GAO included weapons for counter-camouflage (upper image) and target recognition (lower images). Government Accountability Office/GAO hide caption The Pentagon is building weapons and projects… -
Pentagon designates China-backed campus cultural centers a threat to US national securityDefense secretary Pete Hegseth alleges Confucius Institutes operating in disguise on US university campuses The US defense department has designated Chinese-funded cultural centers on university campuses known as Confucius Institutes… -
New UFO files from the Pentagon detail sightings over Catalina IslandCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. New UFO… -
Inside the Pentagon's doomsday plan to keep America fighting if global war eruptsTo ensure future military dominance, a new initiative called Project Meridian has been announced to study the future of warfare. Led by the department's chief technology officer Emil Michael, the effort will be co-led by Elon Musk, Palmer… -
New Pentagon UFO files detail FBI agents' sighting of silent triangular object with no visible enginesGovernment investigations into unexplained UAPs are detailed by retired Defense Intelligence senior executive Jay Stratton on 'Special Report' with Bret Baier. Stratton details shocking military encounters with black triangle aircraft and… -
Mysterious ‘black triangles’ spotted over sensitive US site, new Pentagon UFO files revealTwo senior military observers say they watched a mysterious black triangular object flying at an extraordinarily high speed over a sensitive site in the western US earlier this year, in the latest tranche of reported UFO sightings released… -
New Pentagon directive bans troops from using nonpublic info to bet in prediction marketsBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. WASHINGTON — Defense… -
Pentagon Presents President Trump With Options for Renewed Iran StrikesThe Pentagon has presented US President Donald Trump with several options for renewed military action against Iran, including strikes on nuclear facilities and infrastructure and attacks on islands controlled by the Islamic Republic, as… -
The Pentagon is quietly building an elite new tech sabotage agencyThe creation of the Technology Support Office signals the Defense Department's intent to ramp up a range of aggressive covert activities abroad. 10/22/2026 5:00 AM EDT The Pentagon has spent months quietly building an elite new tech agency… - Trump Warns Iran Strikes Could Come 'Tomorrow' As Pentagon Prepares OptionsUS President Donald Trump speaks with reporters on Saturday. US President Donald Trump on Saturday said the United States could launch fresh strikes against Iran as soon as "tomorrow" or reach an agreement with Tehran, insisting that any…
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Pentagon Designates Confucius Institutes A National Security ThreatAuthored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times, "Chinese government-backed propaganda cultural programs" like Confucius Institutes had infiltrated universities in almost every state, he said, before Congress banned such institutes years…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions