María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
32%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202732%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 34% on Oct 20, 32% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 5.1K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 32% | ▼ 2 | 30¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 19.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Majority Leader, John Thune
Search ›-
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… - Senate Majority Leader Becoming A Major “Thune” In The Side Of RepublicansBy Milt Harris ——Bio and Archives--May 25, 2026 American Politics, News | CFP Comments | Subscribe | Email Us John Thune is the typical example of a so-called leader who keeps reciting the problem but makes no attempt to correct it. The…
-
Thune brushes off prospect of Hakeem Jeffries taking power as GOP faces midterm testElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
John Barrasso to campaign with Ken Paxton - Live Updates - POLITICOHe’s the most senior Senate Republican to hit the trail with the embattled Texas candidate. Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso will campaign with Ken Paxton next week in Texas as Republicans work overtime to try to hold onto the endangered… -
JD Vance Nebraska Rally Interrupted by Medical Incident Behind VP on StageOct 22, 2026 at 01:08 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 03:41 PM EDT Vice President JD Vance led an audience in Nebraska in prayer Thursday after a woman behind him suffered a medical emergency during his rally speech. The woman appeared to pass out… -
Thune makes bold prediction about Republicans' Senate chances as GOP pulls millions from key racesSenate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said that he’s not turning his back and cutting bait on any of the several tight races across the map, but shifting money and worsening polls show that some contests might not be salvageable… -
Exclusive / Poll shows big lead for South Dakota Republican RoundsRepublican Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota leads in his Senate race by more than 20 points, according to a new poll shared first with Semafor, a sign that any blue wave in November will have its limits. Rounds is trouncing independent… -
Top Republican isn’t ready to ‘give up’ on struggling races as election day nearsFox News Top Republican isn’t ready to ‘give up’ on struggling races as election day nears Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said that he’s not turning his back and cutting bait on any of the several tight races across the map… -
Sens. Pete Ricketts, John Thune field questions from local producers on biggest agriculture challengesis your Sarpy County neighborhood reporter. He's passionate about issues like safety, local development, the economy, and uplifting stories about our neighbors. HERMAN, Neb. (KMTV) — Nebraska agricultural producers raised concerns about… -
Lawmakers speak on funding for 185th Air Refueling Wing improvementsSIOUX CITY (KTIV) - Several events Friday, Oct. 23, highlighted efforts to secure funding for the 185th Air Refueling Wing. Senate Majority Leader John Thune was in Sioux City Friday as the featured speaker at the Siouxland Initiative’s…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance▼ 1
Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance▲ 1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%chance▼ 1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions