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Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
The odds
3%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 20273%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 4% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 25.3K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 44.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, Supreme Leader of Iran
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'We may do another Epic Fury': Donald Trump warns Iran of potential strike if deal not reachedUS President Donald Trump has warned Iran of a possible fresh military strike if Tehran fails to reach a diplomatic agreement with Washington, saying the United States could launch "another little Epic Fury" to force compliance. Addressing… - Donald Trump says US may do another military operation against IranTrump hints at further military action against Iran, as the eight-month war impacts US midterms and global fuel prices, with Iran threatening wider retaliation. FORT MYERS: President Donald Trump said on Friday the US may carry out another…
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US-Cuba Conflict: Donald Trump Says Washington Will ‘Take Care of Cuba’ After Iran Amid Strained Bilateral RelationsUS-Cuba Conflict: US President Donald Trump has once again warned neighbouring Cuba. He claimed that the US will ‘take care of Cuba’ once the Iran war is addressed. Under President Trump, the relations between Moscow and Cuba have been… - Donald Trump weights carrying out another 'little Epic Fury' against IranUS President Donald Trump said on Friday that Washington may carry out another military operation against Iran at a time when the war is nearing its eight-month mark and as rising fuel prices weigh on the US midterm elections. "We may do…
- Donald Trump could broker an Israeli unity government to confront IranIf the polls are close to being right, voting stations across the country will close on Tuesday night at 10 p.m. without answering the most important question facing the country: Where does Israel go from here? Neither political bloc will…
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‘Donald Trump’ behind bars: Iran humiliates POTUS live, ‘President locked behind bars’ in TehranA street performance in Tehran depicting US President Donald Trump behind bars has drawn attention amid renewed tensions between Washington and Tehran. The art installation, staged in Tajrish Square, featured a performer wearing a… -
'Iran Driving Up Oil Prices': President Donald Trump Targets Tehran Ahead Of US MidtermsUS President Donald Trump on Thursday, October 22, accused Iran of deliberately pushing up oil prices ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, while alleging that Tehran was fabricating reports of attacks and mines in the Strait of… -
Donald Trump Appears Behind Prison Bars in Iran’s Striking Staged DisplayA recent display in Iran's Tajrish Square has gone viral. It shows an actor impersonating Donald Trump locked inside a prison cell. Clips of the display started circulating on social media after it appeared on October 21. The video has… -
Trump’s Iran sanctions run into limitsThe Trump administration is steadily ratcheting up pressure on Iran with sanctions, but experts and former officials say the penalties thus far are having a limited effect on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to negotiate. Nate Swanson… - Donald Trump claims Iran faked Strait of Hormuz attacks to influence midterm electionsUS President Donald Trump accused Iran of fabricating reports of attacks on oil tankers and naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz to drive up oil prices ahead of the November midterm elections in a Truth Social post on Thursday. “Iran is…
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Billionaire Donald Trump donor Peter Thiel embarrasses US President by admitting Iran war was a mistakePeter Thiel reportedly said he opposes Trump's war with Iran(Image: Getty Images) Billionaire tech mogul Peter Thiel has said the Iran war was a mistake and shouldn't have happened, in a major break with Donald Trump. Thiel, who co-founded… -
Donald Trump Jr. Opposes Iran War Behind Closed Doors, Privately Shared His Views With the President: Report (UPDATED)Editor's note: The story has been updated to include a comment from the White House. Donald Trump Jr. or Don Jr., the eldest son of President Donald Trump, has reportedly opposed the ongoing war with Iran in private. Trump Jr. has…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions