María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
The odds
97%Mississippi
- Mississippi97%▼ 2
- Pennsylvania24%▼ 1
- Wisconsin13%
- New Hampshire7%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Mississippi: 1% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETMississippi: 33% → 96%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Kansas | 99% | $1.01 | 5.0K | |||
| ✓ Arizona | 99% | $1.01 | 1.5K | |||
| ✓ Nevada | 99% | $1.01 | 2.0K | |||
| ✓ North Carolina | 99% | ▲ 1 | $1.01 | 3.1K | ||
| ✓ South Carolina | 99% | ▲ 2 | $1.01 | 4.5K | ||
| ✓ Michigan | 99% | ▲ 1 | $1.01 | 760 | ||
| ✓ Georgia | 97% | $1.03 | 6.5K | |||
| Mississippi | 97% | ▼ 2 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 2.4K | |
| ✓ Kentucky | 94% | $1.06 | 2.3K | |||
| Pennsylvania | 24% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 4.8K |
| Wisconsin | 13% | 11¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 2.6K | |
| New Hampshire | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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Florida’s new TrumpThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears… -
Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovationsFormer President Barack Obama mocked President Donald Trump's White House renovations during a campaign rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovations Former President Barack Obama mocked President Donald… -
Trump demands Ilhan Omar immediately resign from CongressThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts discuss the latest on the Ilhan Omar controversy as she faces two federal investigations. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-hosts also weigh in on a report comparing the president to Hitler over the probes. Trump… -
Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West… -
Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER!President Donald Trump sharply criticized Barack Obama's previous JCPOA deal with Iran, calling it the 'worst and dumbest deal' he has ever seen. Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER! President Donald Trump sharply criticized… -
Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’President Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump… -
Ella Baron on Trump’s admiration for Putin – cartoonContinue reading... Ella Baron on Trump’s admiration for Putin – cartoon -
Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midtermsFox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump rallies supporters for Republican candidates. Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midterms Fox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Obama Rally MichiganPresident Donald Trump is set to campaign in Michigan as Democrats deploy Barack Obama and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while a Justice Department lawsuit threatens to complicate the closely watched Alaska Senate race. President Donald Trump… -
Trump says he WARNED Macron: 'You are DESTROYING France'President Donald Trump discusses immigration in Europe during an appearance on 'Sunday Morning Futures,' criticizing policies in France, Spain and Italy and recalling a warning he says he delivered to French President Emmanuel Macron… -
Donald Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s Body at Michigan RallyOct 25, 2026 at 04:53 PM EDT President Donald Trump made an unexpected remark about rapper Nicki Minaj’s appearance during a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, briefly turning attention away from his midterm campaign message. After… -
WATCH LIVE: Trump delivers remarks at rally in MichiganPresident Trump delivers remarks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan ahead of midterms. WATCH LIVE: Trump delivers remarks at rally in Michigan President Trump delivers remarks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan ahead of midterms.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions