María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
The odds
23.1median
2129
Median 23.1Middle half 22.5 – 23.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 22.8 on Oct 20, 23.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 6 | 99% | $1.01 | 1.5K | |||
| ✓ At least 8 | 99% | $1.01 | 3.2K | |||
| ✓ At least 10 | 99% | $1.01 | 5.0K | |||
| ✓ At least 12 | 99% | $1.01 | 5.5K | |||
| ✓ At least 13 | 99% | $1.01 | 3.9K | |||
| ✓ At least 14 | 99% | $1.01 | 4.6K | |||
| ✓ At least 15 | 99% | $1.01 | 5.0K | |||
| ✓ At least 16 | 99% | $1.01 | 6.8K | |||
| ✓ At least 17 | 99% | ▼ 1 | $1.01 | 1.1K | ||
| ✓ At least 18 | 99% | ▼ 1 | $1.01 | 5.8K | ||
| ✓ At least 19 | 99% | ▼ 1 | $1.01 | 9.1K | ||
| ✓ At least 20 | 99% | ▼ 1 | $1.01 | 8.1K | ||
| ✓ At least 21 | 99% | ▼ 1 | $1.01 | 9.2K | ||
| At least 22 | 99% | ▼ 1 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 12.6K |
| At least 23 | 54% | ▼ 3 | 51¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 8.1K |
| At least 24 | 20% | ▼ 2 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 8.7K |
| At least 25 | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 4.5K | |
| At least 26 | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 7.4K |
| At least 27 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.4K | |
| At least 28 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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Florida’s new TrumpThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears… -
Canada’s Trump Fixation FadesReunion with Rome: An Orthodox Perspective Why Assisted Suicide Failed in Britain Could This Time Be Different on Ukraine? After trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed in August, there were fears a new cold war would break out… -
President Trump continues midterm election ralliesCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
Trump blames European immigration policies for unrestThe Big Weekend Show' co-host Johnny Joey Jones weighs in on the riots spreading across France on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’ ... Trump blames European immigration policies for unrest 'The Big Weekend Show' co-host Johnny Joey Jones weighs in… -
Trump leans into Islamophobic rhetoric at Michigan rallyPresident Donald Trump embraced Islamophobic rhetoric Sunday as he rallied in Port Huron, Michigan, in support of the state’s Republican candidates, including the GOP Senate nominee, former Rep. Mike Rogers. Trump alleged that Abdul… -
Trump attacks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan campaign stopCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
Rapper Nikki Minaj joins Trump onstage at Michigan rallyRapper Nikki Minaj said President Donald Trump has "changed the energy of the country" as she joined him at a Michigan rally to stump for Republicans ahead of the nationwide midterm elections. "He's given us a future to look forward to,"… -
Melania Trump helps secure localized ceasefire in Ukrainian cityFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on first lady Melania Trump's role in helping secure a localized ceasefire in a Ukrainian city to allow for civilian evacuations and the distribution of humanitarian aid on 'Fox News… -
Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’President Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump… -
Donald Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s Body at Michigan RallyOct 25, 2026 at 04:53 PM EDT President Donald Trump made an unexpected remark about rapper Nicki Minaj’s appearance during a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, briefly turning attention away from his midterm campaign message. After… -
Trump demands Ilhan Omar immediately resign from CongressThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts discuss the latest on the Ilhan Omar controversy as she faces two federal investigations. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-hosts also weigh in on a report comparing the president to Hitler over the probes. Trump… -
President Trump speaks out against Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions