María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 93
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
The odds
1.47median
05
Median 1.47
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.52 on Oct 20, 1.47 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 73% | ▲ 2 | 70¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 7.6K |
| At least 2 | 25% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 8.9K |
| At least 3 | 16% | 13¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 1.00 | |
| At least 4 | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment
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Impeachment is back on the menuThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/21/2026 01:40 PM EDT Impeachment dominated much of Donald Trump’s first presidency. Voters think it should come back for a sequel. Half of Americans… -
Madagascar coup leader sworn in as president after Andry Rajoelina impeached amid "Gen Z" protestsOctober 17, 2025 / 8:52 AM EDT / CBS News Johannesburg — Large crowds gathered Friday in Madagascar's capital city to watch the leader of the African island nation's recent military coup be sworn in as its new president. Col. Michael… -
Impeach Trump Y/N?Advertisement Listen & Subscribe Choose your preferred player: Apple Podcasts Spotify TuneIn Pocket Casts RSS Feed For questions about subscriptions or your Slate Plus feed, check our FAQ. Please enable javascript to get your Slate Plus… -
Trump Impeachment ‘Theater’ Loses Steam with LeftJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Progressive House members and candidates are taking a stark turn away from what they describe as ‘performative’ efforts to impeach President Trump,” Axios reports. “This is a drastic shift in tone… -
New Democratic voices cool on Trump impeachment pushFor years, impeachment was one of the loudest weapons in the Democratic arsenal against Donald Trump. Now, a new crop of progressives is sounding far less eager to turn it into a reflex. That shift is showing up in public comments from… - Ilhan Omar hires Biden’s former personal lawyer, Trump impeachment attorney amid immigration probeWASHINGTON, DC: Democratic Rep Ilhan Omar (D-Minn) has hired two prominent Washington lawyers with ties to former President Joe Biden and the congressional investigations into President Donald Trump as federal authorities examine her…
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I.N.D.I.A bloc plans mock Parliament, CEC impeachmentWith the Congress led INDIA bloc set to hold a massive public meeting titled ‘Vote Bachao, Desh Bachao’ on November 1 over alleged vote chori and its demand for the removal of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar and scrapping of the… - Trump will be impeached by the House and convicted by the Senate. Then what?Iâm about to say things you donât want to hear. But Iâm a prognosticator, not a cheerleader (even though I voted for Trump three times). So here goes. The Democrats will retake the House of... Trump will be impeached by the House and…
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Majority of Americans say Trump has committed impeachable offenses, poll findsMore than half of Americans believe President Donald Trump has committed offenses that warrant impeachment, based on a Politico poll reported on October 21, bringing renewed attention to the issue ahead of November’s midterm elections. The… -
INDIA bloc to hold ‘public impeachment’ of CEC on Oct 30Leaders of the opposition INDIA Bloc will hold a “public impeachment” of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar on October 30 and announce a public verdict against him. The “mock Parliament” would be held at Hotel Ashok, where all… -
House Dems Target Hegseth for Impeachment if They Win MidtermsHouse Democrats are already plotting to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth if they regain control of Congress in November, making the Trump administration official a top target of their anticipated return to power. While Democratic… -
House Democrats Target Hegseth for ImpeachmentJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “House Democrats are setting their political sights on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, pushing for his removal as the first spoils from anticipated wins in the midterm election,” the Wall Street…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions