Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
When will Trump's ballroom be completed?
The odds
Dec 11, 2028even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 20273%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202812%
- Before Jul 1, 202832%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202953%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 203081%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | 9.9K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 37.0K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 3.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 53% | ▼ 1 | 50¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 12.0K |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 81% | 78¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 6.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: White House State Ballroom
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Apple donates $25 million for President Trump’s White House State BallroomApple has committed $25 million to President Donald Trump’s planned White House ballroom project, matching the contribution from Nvidia as one of the largest gifts disclosed so far, according to a Washington Post report on Thursday. The… -
Nvidia and Apple each gave $25M to Trump’s ballroom, Washington Post saysA confidential spreadsheet lists 67 donations to the White House ballroom worth $333m, including $77m from anonymous donors. Construction of the White House State Ballroom, seen from the Washington Monument in Washington, DC, 12 October… -
Amid an affordability crisis, here are the construction projects Trump has focused onIn the US, the cost of things such as groceries and fuel – the latter made worse by President Donald Trump’s ongoing war with Iran – show no sign of coming down, and this has resulted in Americans venting their frustrations online as the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.