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Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term? (Before Jan 21, 2029)
The odds
9%XRP
- XRP9%▼ 7
- Solana7%
- Bitcoin7%▲ 1
- Ethereum6%
- Cardano4%
- Hyperliquid4%
- Dogecoin1%
How the odds have moved
XRP: 6% on Oct 19, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 5 PM ETXRP: 16% → 9%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 9% | ▼ 7 | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.9K |
| Solana | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 263 | |
| Bitcoin | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.5K |
| Ethereum | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 164 | |
| Cardano | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 84.00 | ||
| Hyperliquid | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 323 | ||
| Dogecoin | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 554 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
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U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decisionU.S. Treasury yields inched lower Monday as investors look ahead to the central bank's interest rate decision and await a flurry of economic data this week. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was down less than 1 basis point to 4.98%… -
Health Brief: Making sense of Treasury’s biotech deal proposalPharma sees a potential catch in Washington’s latest effort to curb China’s biotech ambitions Happy Friday, and welcome to Health Brief. Calley Means, a key member of the Make America Healthy Again movement, announced he would be leaving… -
Why investors are moving back into TreasurysU.S. Treasurys are returning to favor as a safe haven play that sidesteps investors' worries over a shaky economy and the future of the data center build-out. -
Treasury proposes major restrictions to U.S. investment in Chinese biotech sectorBy John Wilkerson and Damian Garde WASHINGTON — The Trump administration late on Thursday proposed a rule that would severely restrict future U.S. investment in the Chinese biotech sector but still allow American drugmakers to buy the… -
Ripple Treasury Introduces Always-On Corporate Treasury Platform to Modernize Corporate Cash ManagementNew orchestration capabilities connect treasury workflows, AI, payments, and choice of rails while 24/7 Returns allow businesses to put operating cash to work beyond traditional banking hours with Ripple USD (RLUSD) -
US Treasurys gained in investors’ flight to safetyMarkets have grown worried that Big Tech firms will not make sufficient money to cover their ballooning investments and are running into supply-chain bottlenecks. US Treasurys gained in investors’ flight to safety US Treasurys gained in… -
Democrats gear up for offensive against Trump’s TreasuryIf they take control of Congress, Democrats on tax-writing and financial oversight panels plan to target the president’s alleged self-dealing, setting up a showdown with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. If Democrats take back power in… -
Trump Treasury Lining Up Private Debt Collectors To Seize Wages From Nearly 10 Million Student Loan Defaulters: ReportTreasury's push last year to postpone collections has cost taxpayers about $5 billion so far... Trump administration officials are preparing to penalize millions of Americans in default on their federal student loans next year, The… -
Treasury chief lauds Türkiye's achievements in fiscal transparencyTürkiye has taken "major steps forward" in fiscal transparency in the last decade, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in a recent assessment, with a top Turkish economy official lauding the improvement and tying it to institutional… -
Treasury proposes curbs on high-tech investments in China, Russia, North Koreaby Ryan Mancini 10/22/26 10:37 PM ET The Treasury Department on Thursday proposed a rule to curb American high-tech investments, including AI, outbound to U.S. adversaries like China, Russia, North Korea and other “countries of concern.”… -
SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares TreasuryHome » Lifestyle » SASSA » SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares Treasury Extending the grant until 31 March 2027 doesn’t reveal Treasury’s entire plan. On Wednesday, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana announced that the… -
Bitcoin Treasury Analyst: MSTR, ASST & Metaplanet Digital Credit OutlookMetaplanet moves to the U.S. to issue preferreds. Allard Peng breaks down the capital pool, parent support questions, and why it's accretive to common shares. Bitcoin Treasury Analyst: MSTR, ASST & Metaplanet Digital Credit Outlook…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions