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Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled (Before Dec 12, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
At least 3 dates cancelled: 28% on Oct 20, 24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 1 date cancelled | 82% | $1.22 | 6.2K | |||
| ✓ At least 2 dates cancelled | 75% | $1.33 | 2.9K | |||
| At least 3 dates cancelled | 24% | ▼ 15 | 19¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.4K |
| At least 4 dates cancelled | 19% | ▲ 2 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 5.2K |
| At least 5 dates cancelled | 8% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.1K |
| At least 6 dates cancelled | 4% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.3K |
| At least 7 dates cancelled | 4% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 4.1K |
| At least 8 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.6K | |
| At least 9 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.4K | |
| At least 10 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.4K | |
| At least 11 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.5K | |
| At least 12 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.0K | |
| At least 13 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.1K | |
| At least 14 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.2K | |
| At least 15 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 16.1K | |
| At least 16 dates cancelled | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 14.1K | |
| At least 17 dates cancelled | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 23.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ed Sheeran Loop Tour, Number of Dates Cancelled
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