Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 1
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Target Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
The odds
39%Above 96
93120
How the odds have moved
Above 96: 78% on Oct 20, 39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 12 PM ETAbove 96: 46% → 39%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 96 | 39% | ▼ 16 | 37¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 8.3K |
| Above 99 | 25% | ▼ 19 | 22¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 3.4K |
| Above 100 | 13% | ▼ 16 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 10.1K |
| Above 101 | 13% | ▼ 11 | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 7.5K |
| Above 102 | 13% | ▼ 7 | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 2.1K |
| Above 103 | 7% | ▼ 9 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.8K |
| Above 104 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.0K | |
| Above 105 | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 481 | |
| Above 108 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 132 | |
| Above 111 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.3K |
| Above 114 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | ||
| Above 117 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 12.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Target Credit Card Spend
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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United Airlines Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
106.7median
91117
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105.3median
81113
Median 105.3Middle half 102.6 – 107.8
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions