How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $254 today · $48.7K traded · $18.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

582.5median
-1,00030,000
Median 582.5Middle half 97.1 – 1,700

How the odds have moved

Median: 569.0 on Oct 20, 582.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 0 80% ▼ 8 77¢ 83¢ $1.20 26.3K
Above 1000 28% ▼ 4 27¢ 30¢ $3.33 80.0K
Above 5000 9% ▼ 1 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 51.2K
Above 10000 6% ▼ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 7.7K
Above 15000 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.4K
Above 20000 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 906
Above 25000 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 786

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Semi Trucks, Tesla Produce

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  • LAPD searching for semi-truck involved in deadly San Pedro hit-and-run crashCBS News · 4 days agoOctober 21, 2026 / 3:29 PM PDT / CBS LA The Los Angeles Police Department asked for help finding a semi-truck driver involved in a deadly hit-and-run crash in San Pedro. Detectives said the fatal collision happened around 1:30 a.m. on Oct…
  • Semi-truck catches fire in Wiggins; no injuries reported@WLOX · 48 h agoWIGGINS, Miss. (WLOX) — A semi-truck trailer caught fire Friday morning in Wiggins, according to the Wiggins Fire Department. Officials said the fire happened on West Central Avenue. The trailer ... WIGGINS, Miss. (WLOX) — A semi-truck…
  • Semi-truck driver arrested on kidnapping charges faces new charges@KOLO8 · 43 h agoRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - A semi-truck driver arrested in September on charges of kidnapping a 14-year-old girl is facing 10 additional child sex abuse material related charges. 31-year-old Daniel Isidoro was arrested on Sept. 29 after…
  • CHP: Bakersfield man killed after running stop sign into semi-truck trailerKBAK · 44 h agoBAKERSFIELD, Calif. (KBAK/KBFX) — A 29-year-old Bakersfield man died after CHP says he ran a stop sign and collided with a semi-truck’s trailer at Bear Mountain Boulevard early Friday morning. The California Highway Patrol said on Friday…
  • Tesla produces 7,000 Model Ys in one week at Giga BerlinDrive Tesla · 39 h agoTesla has built 7,000 Model Ys during a single week at Giga Berlin, reaching a new production milestone at the German factory that now supplies Canadian customers. The announcement came from Tesla Manufacturing on X, which credited…
  • Semi-truck driver killed in Mankato after being hit by pickup while on shoulderFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 2 days agoMANKATO, Minn. (FOX 9) - A semi-truck driver was hit and killed while he was standing near his truck on the shoulder of Highway 169 in Mankato Thursday afternoon. According to the Minnesota State Patrol, just before 2:30 p.m., a semi-truck…
  • Coffee food truck obliterated in construction zone crash with semi truckCDLLife · 3 days agoA man was miraculously uninjured after a construction zone crash sent a semi truck crashing into his coffee truck. The accident happened on Thursday, October 22nd at 9:26 a.m. in Silver Spring Township, Pennsylvania. According to WGAL 8, a…
  • Man killed in crash with semi-truck in HaywardFox21Online · 43 h agoJason, his wife Lauren, and their daughter, Makayla (GoFundMe) HAYWARD, Wis. (KQDS-TV) -- A man was killed after his car collided with a semi-truck in Hayward. The victim was 50-year-old Jason T. Laenn from Springbrook, WI. According to…
  • Man killed in head-on crash with semi-truck in Fresno County, CHP saysABC30 Fresno · 3 days agoFRESNO COUNTY, Calif. (KFSN) -- A man has died after colliding head-on with a semi-truck in Fresno County Thursday morning. According to the California Highway Patrol, they received multiple calls about a collision on Highway 180 near Napa…
  • Semi-truck turns into path of SUV, killing Vero Beach driver, FHP says@Fox29WFLX · 3 days agoA man was killed Thursday morning in a crash involving a semi-truck in unincorporated Indian River County, according to the Florida Highway Patrol (FHP). The crash happened around 6:45 a.m. at the intersection of 66th Avenue and 49th…
  • Scania speeds up switch to silent semi trucks with Chinese productionElectrek · 3 days agoRecord fuel prices driven by the dumb oil war in Iran are fueling a faster-than-expected switch to electric trucks in the world’s biggest freight markets – and Swedish heavy truck brand Scania is scrambling to meet demand with a new…
  • Vero Beach Man Killed in Semi-Truck Crash, FHP SaysHoodline · 3 days agoA 60-year-old Vero Beach man is dead after a semi-truck turned into the path of his SUV at a rural Indian River County intersection early Thursday morning, according to the Florida Highway Patrol. The man was pronounced dead just after 8…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions