Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai) (Oct 31, 2026)
94%Claude
- Claude94%▼ 1
- ChatGPT3%▼ 2
- Kimi3%▼ 1
6 more
- MiniMax3%▲ 2
- Qwen2%
- Grok2%▼ 1
- Dola2%▼ 1
- GLM2%
- Gemini2%
Install
Top Coding AI this week (Oct 26, 2026)
The odds
95%Claude
- Claude95%
- Qwen3%
How the odds have moved
Claude: 91% on Oct 19, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 563 | |
| Qwen | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 16.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Coding AI
Search ›-
Kane booked it 2 of 3 times. Its step log said the page cost the agent 2.9x the credits.A browser agent can finish a task and still show you the page is broken. In one day at Kane CLI Hack Day SF we turned Kane's step log into a score site owners can act on, built a repair loop that proves its own fixes, watched a review step… -
MiniMax releases open weights for 428-billion-parameter M3.1 Flash model · TechNodeMiniMax released the weights for its M3.1 Flash model on October 23, making the model available for developers to download and deploy. The MiniMax released the weights for its M3.1 Flash model on October 23, making the model available for… - I Spent 10x Longer Debugging AI Code Than Writing It — Here's What ChangedEveryone talks about how AI speeds up coding. But nobody talks about the time you spend debugging the code AI writes for you. I learned this the hard way. A few months ago, I was building a data pipeline for a side project. I used ChatGPT…
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Beyond coding: AI boom and tech hiring trends are rewriting traditional engineering degree syllabus — Here's howArtificial intelligence (AI) is fundamentally changing the tech industry — from how software is built, shipped, and scaled. However, as global technology advances more quickly, the traditional four-year engineering curriculum often takes… -
The AI Software Supply Chain Is Becoming More Dangerous Than the Traditional OneIn July, AI agents infamously broke into Hugging Face, a popular platform where people share AI tools and data; it got inside through a dataset. Hugging Face's own timeline counts about 17,600 recorded actions between July 9 and July 13… -
Beyond Line Diffs: AST-Aware Semantic Code Mappings for System ReviewsLine-based git diffs obscure architectural intent during cross-service refactorings. AST-aware semantic diffing and interactive visual canvases restore clarity. Tagged with git, ast, codereview, developertools. Line-based git diffs break… -
VS Code 1.134 Is Here — Side-by-Side Chats, Prompt Timeline, and More Features You'll Actually UseReleased on August 19, 2026, this update is one of those rare releases that feels like the team was watching over your shoulder while you worked. It fixes small but real annoyances, adds tools for managing complex agent sessions, and makes… -
Harvard's Endowment Has 75% of Its Stock Portfolio in 5 AI Stocks. Genius Move or Dangerous Trap?Harvard University has the largest academic endowment in the world, valued at nearly $68 billion. While the endowment invests in approximately 15,000 funds, it also holds individual stocks, with 75% of its public equity portfolio held in… -
Tech expert warns AI could break the internet within monthsAI exposes a massive flaw in the web's code AI exposes a massive flaw in the web's code -
I Replaced grep-Based Code Review with a Knowledge Graph + MCP. Here Are 3 Bugs Vector Search Missed.For about a year, my AI code review setup looked like this: AI gets a PR, AI greps for related code, AI reads way too many files, AI says "looks fine." It mostly worked. Until the bugs that didn't show up in grep started shipping. The… -
Looks Good To MachineAI wrote the code. AI reviewed the code. Guess who still gets paged. We taught AI to write our code, and it does, at a pace that makes last year's velocity charts look like a crypto scam. So naturally, someone in a planning meeting said… - That cheap business website runs on code AI just cracked openPHP, the scripting language behind an estimated 70% of the world’s websites, has just been hit by two critical vulnerabilities. Details leaked a day before the planned release, which forced an emergency patch and a global scramble to take…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
90%Google
- Google90%
- Anthropic3%▼ 5
- Meta<1%
18 more
- OpenAI<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
20.46%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 20.46%Middle half 20.13% – 20.8%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Nov 13, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202614%▼ 2
- December 31, 202756%▼ 4
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
53%Anthropic
- Anthropic53%▲ 4
- Google36%▼ 4
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions