Predictions › Politics › Trump administration Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency? (Before Jan 20, 2029) Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $1.3K traded · $34 at stake · prices read 2 h ago
Before Jan 1, 2028 14% Before Jan 20, 2029 26% ▼ 1
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
October 31 14% ▼ 5 November 30 55% ▼ 5 December 31 77% ▼ 4
SI / Super Intelligence 81% ▲ 15 Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times 78% ▼ 9 Russia / Ukraine 74% ▲ 4 19 more Drag Show 70% ▲ 7 America First / Gulf of America 65% ▲ 3 Transgender 5+ times 64% ▼ 14 Ass 64% ▼ 1 Animal 63% ▲ 2 Hormuz / Blockade 61% ▼ 1 Fertilizer / Rural 54% ▲ 8 Hell 15+ times 51% ▼ 3 Data Center / Electric / Electricity 45% ▲ 6 AI / Artificial Intelligence 39% ▼ 5 Star 38% ▼ 4 Bull / Bullshit 37% ▼ 5 Tax 33+ times 37% ▼ 10 Fentanyl / Deport / Deported 36% ▲ 4 Regulation / Regulatory 28% ▲ 1 Gay / Palestine 28% ▲ 7 Maduro 19% ▼ 10 Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency 3% ▲ 1 -No Qualifying Event- 1% ▼ 3 Vladimir Putin 85% Mohammed bin Salman 77% ▼ 3 Lai Ching-te 13% ▲ 10 11 more Kim Jong Un 13% ▼ 18 Aleksandr Lukashenko 11% ▼ 2 King Mohammed VI 11% ▼ 2 Changpeng Zhao 11% iShowSpeed 10% ▲ 7 Pope Leo XIV 5% MrBeast 5% Nick Fuentes 3% Yoon Suk Yeol 3% Nicolás Maduro 2% Jair Bolsonaro 2% ▼ 1
38.55% 39.25%
Median 38.58% Middle half 38.6% – 38.77%
Anna Kelly 14% ▲ 3 Scott Jennings 14% ▼ 1 Elizabeth Pipko 6% ▲ 1 57 more Alina Habba 3% Steven Cheung 3% ▲ 2 Danielle Alvarez 3% Margo Martin 3% Kari Lake 2% No new person 2% ▲ 1 Rachel Campos-Duffy 2% Roma Daravi 2% Laura Loomer 2% ▲ 1 Tricia McLaughlin 2% Maria Bartiromo 2% ▼ 1 Erin Elmore Scavino 2% Karoline Leavitt 2% Jason Miller 1% Sage Steele 1% Tucker Carlson 1% Liz Huston 1% Natalie Harp 1% Spencer Pratt 1% Lara Trump 1% Jayme Franklin 1% Erika Kirk 1% Matthew Boyle 1% Taylor Budowich 1% Katie Miller 1% ▼ 3 Monica Crowley 1% Kush Desai 1% Ari Fleischer 1% Benny Johnson 1% Matt Walsh 1% Ben Shapiro 1% Jack Posobiec 1% Mike Cernovich 1% Dan Bongino 1% Kayleigh McEnany 1% Harrison Fields 1% Taylor Rogers 1% ▼ 1 Hogan Gidley 1% Katie Pavlich 1% ▼ 1 Lauren Bis 1% Pat Adams 1% Kaelan Dorr 1% Vanessa Broussard 1% Cara Castronuova 1% Mark Levin 1% Logan Paul 1% Jake Paul 1% Eric Daugherty 1% Ben Ferguson 1% Tulsi Gabbard 1% Beni Rae Harmony 1% Peter Doocy 1% Sean Spicer 1% Marco Rubio 1% Kat Timpf 1% Kaylee McGhee White 1% George Santos 1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on the White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press
Trading closes Jan 20, 2029 10:00 AM ET
Traded $1.3K (4,957 contracts)
This week $1.3K
At stake $34
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules If the President has invoked the Taft-Hartley Act’s national emergency provisions in Section 206 of the Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .