The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 405 million
96%
93¢
99¢
$1.01
Above 410 million
94%
89¢
99¢
$1.01
200
Above 415 million
75%
70¢
80¢
$1.25
Above 420 million
46%
41¢
50¢
$2.00
205
Above 425 million
24%
19¢
28¢
$3.57
247
Above 430 million
12%
▼ 1
7¢
16¢
$6.25
9.00
Above 435 million
5%
▼ 1
1¢
9¢
$11.11
Above 440 million
4%
▼ 1
1¢
7¢
$14.29
2.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Constellation Brands Beer Shipments, Total Beer Shipments, Case Equivalents
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners invests $39.7M in WA manufacturing upgradeAustralian Manufacturing · 10 days agoCoca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) has invested $39.7 million in its Kewdale manufacturing facility in Western Australia, installing a new can production line designed to increase capacity by more than 40 per cent. The upgrade will…
CCEP backs WA manufacturing with $39.7m Kewdale upgradec-store.com.au · 10 days agoCoca-Cola Europacific Partners has committed $39.7 million to a new can line at its Kewdale plant, lifting capacity by more than 40 per cent. The line will run 24 hours a day, seven days a week through the peak summer period, as Western…
Midleton Very Rare Irish Chestnut Edition spearheads Rare Wood CollectionTRBusiness · 11 days agoBy Tina Milton | Wednesday, 14 October 2026 11:19 Midleton Very Rare Irish Chestnut Edition is limited to just 800 case equivalents globally. Midleton Very Rare has released the Irish Chestnut Edition, marking the inaugural expression in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.