Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?

Kalshi Politics › States & cities Closes Dec 31 · $372 traded · $235 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

41%Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite

Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite41%
Health Information Privacy Act16%▼ 1
Companion AI Protection Act8%
$15 Minimum Wage by 20297%
AI Anti-Discrimination7%
Drag Show Restrictions7%

How the odds have moved

Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite: 48% on Oct 19, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite	41%		28¢	41¢	$2.44	509
Health Information Privacy Act	16%	▼ 1	13¢	19¢	$5.26	348
Companion AI Protection Act	8%		4¢	12¢	$8.33	400
$15 Minimum Wage by 2029	7%		2¢	12¢	$8.33	488
AI Anti-Discrimination	7%		2¢	11¢	$9.09	405
Drag Show Restrictions	7%		2¢	11¢	$9.09	241

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite, Health Information Privacy Act, Companion AI Protection Act

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles ongeography’s official government websites, major newspapers in geography

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$372 (2,390 contracts)

At stake$235

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions