Which ballot measures will pass in South Dakota?

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 2, 2027 · $16 today · $2.8K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

94%Amendment J

Amendment J94%▲ 1
Amendment K81%▲ 1
Amendment L21%▲ 2
Amendment I20%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Amendment J: 93% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Amendment J	94%	▲ 1	91¢	96¢	$1.04	2.8K
Amendment K	81%	▲ 1	76¢	85¢	$1.18
Amendment L	21%	▲ 2	17¢	25¢	$4.00	949
Amendment I	20%	▲ 1	16¢	24¢	$4.17	8.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Dakota

Search ›

I'm independent Brian Bengs. This is why I want South Dakota's vote for SenateFox News · 2 days agoIâm running to put South Dakota first, and to work with anyone, whatever their politics, when itâs in the interest of our state. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images) More than at any time in my life, I believe our…
Exclusive / Poll shows big lead for South Dakota Republican Roundssemafor.com · 3 days agoRepublican Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota leads in his Senate race by more than 20 points, according to a new poll shared first with Semafor, a sign that any blue wave in November will have its limits. Rounds is trouncing independent…
Jackley: Gun suppressors ‘important’ in South Dakota@dakotanews_now · 28 h agoSouth Dakota’s top prosecutor says firearm suppressors are more than just a Second Amendment issue—they are a major economic driver in his state. SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - South Dakota’s top prosecutor says firearm suppressors…
South Dakota election polls reaching drastically different conclusions@dakotanews_now · 25 h agoSIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - Election Day is right around the corner, with many key seats up for grabs. The races are heating up, and candidates are keeping score. However, polling is proving to be complicated with very different…
States join South Dakota in Mayday Health legal battle@dakotanews_now · 27 h agoSouth Dakotans can drop off unused and expired prescription drugs on Saturday as part of the DEA’s 31st National Prescription Drug Take Back Day. States join South Dakota in Mayday Health legal battle Children’s Home Society cuts ribbon on…
South Dakota 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 2 days ago2026 results › South Dakota General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in South Dakota close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the…
South Dakota 2026 Poll: Republican Sen. Rounds Leads Independent Bengs 50% to 42%Emerson Polling · 38 h agoRhoden Holds Double-Digit Lead in Gubernatorial Race A new Emerson College Polling/KELOLAND poll finds 50% of voters support incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds, while 42% support independent candidate Brian Bengs. Eight percent are…
South Dakota voters urged to verify polling locations ahead of Election Day@kotatweets · 35 h agoRAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - South Dakota voters are being encouraged to confirm their polling locations before heading out to vote in the Nov. 3 general election. The Secretary of State’s Office warns that polling places may have changed…
South Dakota Voters Urged to Check Polling Locations Before Nov. 3 ElectionMitchell Now - News · 39 h agoSouth Dakota voters are encouraged to confirm their polling locations before the Nov. 3 general election. The state’s online portal offers registration checks, polling information and absentee ballot tracking. MITCHELL, SD (Mitchell Now) —…
South Dakota National Guard members prepare for new border mission@dakotanews_now · 2 days agoWAGNER, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - The South Dakota National Guard’s 155th Engineer Company is preparing to deploy to the southern border for a new support mission. More than 120 soldiers from the Wagner-based unit are deploying from about…
South Dakota National Guard Troops are Headed to the Southern BorderKELO-AM · 2 days agoS.D. Army National Guard emblem. PIERRE, S.D. (KELO.com) – Over 120 South Dakota National Guard troops are headed to the southwest border to join the fight against cartel drug trade. The Guard’s 155th Engineer Company based in Wagner was…
South Dakota National Guard Activates 120 Soldiers for Southern Border DeploymentNortheast Radio SD · 2 days agoNortheast Radio SD Northeast Radio SD News – South Dakota - Gov. Larry Rhoden activated the 155th Engineering Company of the South Dakota National Guard on Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026, for an upcoming deployment to the U.S. southern border…

Related markets

All state & local ›

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?

88%Ballot Measure 3

Ballot Measure 388%
Ballot Measure 233%▼ 1

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?

93%Amendment 3

Amendment 393%▲ 1
Amendment 178%
Amendment 478%▲ 1

1 more

Amendment 266%▲ 1

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?

97%Citizens Only Voting Amendment

Citizens Only Voting Amendment97%▲ 1
Right to Keep and Bear Arms Amendment93%▲ 1
Water Infrastructure Bond Question86%▲ 1

1 more

Economic Development Districts Amendment57%▲ 1

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

87%Proposition 316

Proposition 31687%▲ 2
Proposition 14184%
Proposition 31983%▲ 1

5 more

Proposition 31774%▼ 5
Proposition 14266%▲ 1
Proposition 31863%▲ 2
Proposition 14453%
Proposition 32053%

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

81%Proposition 136

Proposition 13681%▲ 3
Proposition 13276%▲ 1
Amendment 8573%▲ 1

11 more

Proposition 13370%▲ 1
Amendment 8465%▼ 1
Proposition 13763%▲ 1
Amendment 8361%▼ 3
Amendment 8659%▼ 1
Proposition NN57%▲ 4
Proposition 13550%▲ 4
Amendment 8140%▼ 3
Amendment 8725%▲ 3
Proposition 13421%▼ 24
Amendment 8217%▼ 27

Elections › State & local

Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?

63%Amendment 2

Amendment 263%
Amendment 162%▲ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onSouth Dakota Secretary of State

Trading closesNov 2, 2027 7:59 PM ET

Traded$2.8K (3,777 contracts)

Today$16

This week$2.8K

At stake$1.6K

In the news6 headlines today, 44 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Amendment I passes in South Dakota, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.