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Which ballot measures will pass in Montana?
The odds
- CI-13281%▲ 6
- CI-13380%▲ 6
- I-19459%▲ 8
How the odds have moved
CI-132: 76% on Oct 19, 81% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 4 AM ETCI-132: 76% → 81%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CI-132 | 81% | ▲ 6 | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 283 |
| CI-133 | 80% | ▲ 6 | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 255 |
| I-194 | 59% | ▲ 8 | 55¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 273 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Montana
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Buttigieg endorses independent candidate Seth Bodnar over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate raceOctober 23, 2026 / 12:23 PM EDT / CBS News Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed the independent candidate in the Montana Senate race, Seth Bodnar, over the Democratic nominee, Bodnar's campaign announced Friday… -
Why I’m Backing Seth Bodnar for MontanaIf voters believe in reproductive freedom, in the dignity of work and in a senator who answers to Montana, vote for Seth Bodnar Alani Bankhead argued in The Washington Post last week that Montana voters should choose their own Senate… -
Montana Votes: The Ballot BreakdownThe Israeli Defense Forces announces restrictions on the movement of Palestinian workers in the run-up to Tuesday's election. David Tolbert told investigators when he opened his car door outside a store where he was working in Huntsville… -
Montana's plan to curb election spendingOne of the greatest frustrations I had during my 18 years representing the great state of Montana in the U.S. Senate was watching, in real time, the ever-increasing flood of corporate money poison our political discourse. Enactment of this… -
Watch Montana Votes: The Ballot BreakdownKRTV Watch Montana Votes: The Ballot Breakdown Watch MTN News half-hour program featuring all of Montana key races leading up to Nov. 3: Results From Around The State -
Montana Lottery Big Sky Bonus results for Oct. 25, 2026Here's a look at Oct. 25, 2026, results for each game: Mega Millions: 9 p.m. MT on Tuesday and Friday. Lucky For Life: 8:38 p.m. MT daily. Lotto America: 9 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday and Saturday. Big Sky Bonus: 7:30 p.m. MT daily… -
Montana has a plan to curb political spendingOne of the greatest frustrations I had during my 18 years representing the great state of Montana in the U.S. Senate was watching, in real time, the ever-increasing flood of corporate money poison our political discourse. Enactment of this… -
The Blitz: Montana high school football highlights (Oct. 24)The Independent Record Javascript is required to use this website. To have games included in the Blitz, submit scores and scoring details to 406mtsports.myteamscoop.com People are also reading⦠- 'A life like hers doesn't end': Hundreds… - Fact Check: Did Trump suggest renaming Montana to ‘Mountain’ in a social media post?WASHINGTON, DC: Amid President Donald Trump’s geographic renaming spree, a rumor is circulating on social media platforms claiming that Trump, in an online post, suggested renaming the state of Montana to ‘Mountain’ because it's a Spanish…
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Montana Lottery Powerball, Lotto America results for Oct. 24, 2026Here's a look at Oct. 24, 2026, results for each game: 04-05-15-19-55, Powerball: 19, Power Play: 2 15-18-21-25-31, Star Ball: 04, ASB: 04 Check Montana Cash payouts and previous drawings here. Mega Millions: 9 p.m. MT on Tuesday and… -
Guest opinion: Montana’s land stewards are back in the driver’s seatMontana’s public lands have long been worked and hunted by generations of Montanans. For the families who depend on them, access to public lands, healthy forests, and a strong timber industry are not abstract policy debates. Guest opinion… -
Montana will have low congressional seniority in 2027HELENA — We still don’t know who Montana voters will be sending to represent them in Congress this election, but one thing we do know is that at least two of them will be newcomers. That means, in 2027, Montana will be low on the list when…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions