Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
88%Ballot Measure 3
- Ballot Measure 388%
- Ballot Measure 232%▼ 1
Install
Will Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax?
The odds
51%chance▲ 3
How the odds have moved
Yes: 39% on Oct 20, 51% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51% | ▲ 3 | 48¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 19.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa
Search ›- Iowa’s health care electionThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/25/2026 12:37 PM EDT With help from Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Sunday. This is Eli Okun coming to you with a dispatch from Iowa, where I…
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Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… - Health care shakes up the Iowa electionIf Democrats flip Congress, health care could find its way to the top of their 2027 agenda. 10/25/2026 12:26 PM EDT WAVERLY, Iowa — Gas and grocery prices have dominated the midterms, but November is shaping up to be a health care election…
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Oil politics squeeze IowaThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/23/2026 02:36 PM EDT And President Donald Trump just told reporters that the order came directly from him, another breach of DOJ independence: “I’m the… -
Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midtermsIowa GOP gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn joins ‘The Big Weekend Show’ to discuss diesel prices, farmers’ support for the GOP and his race against Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand. Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midterms… -
‘On the brink of a crisis’: Farmers’ troubles imperil Iowa GOP after years of dominanceThis harvest season, farmers are feeling the pinch from both the war with Iran and the trade war. And it’s causing political problems for Iowa Republicans. POLK CITY, Iowa — Aaron Lehman has spent every fall for decades working the fields… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
Trump floats unconstitutional third term at campaign rally in Iowa – videoDonald Trump told rally-goers on Thursday evening that he had 'the right to run again' for president, invoking a claim he has repeatedly made that he may seek a third term despite it being unconstitutional Continue reading... Trump floats… -
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… -
Donald Trump Iowa Rally Tests Ashley Hinson’s Distancing StrategyOct 23, 2026 at 12:36 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:37 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump told Iowans to “pretend [he] is on the ballot” in the November election, a message that may test Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson’s campaign… -
Iowa's Ashley Hinson courts Trump loyalists while promising to push back on himOctober 23, 2026 / 11:43 AM CDT / AP After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials "DJT" flash on her phone. "'Ashley, it's your favorite president,'" Iowa's Republican nominee for U.S. Senate… -
Trump blasts Ilhan Omar at Iowa rally as crowd erupts in 'lock her up' chantsDuring a campaign rally in Iowa on October 22, President Trump demanded Representative Ilhan Omar's immediate resignation from Congress, alleging that she used a fake name to be sworn into office. Addressing the crowd, Trump quipped that…
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Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
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Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
81%Proposition 136
- Proposition 13681%▼ 1
- Proposition 13277%▲ 1
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- Proposition 13371%▲ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions