Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
88%Ballot Measure 3
- Ballot Measure 388%
- Ballot Measure 232%
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Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?
The odds
78%Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment
- Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment78%▲ 1
- Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment77%
How the odds have moved
Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment: 76% on Oct 19, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 200 |
| Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hawaii, Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment
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Breaking down Hawaii’s 2026 state and county ballot questionsThis election cycle, voters across Hawaii have the opportunity to approve or reject a number of amendments to the state Constitution and county charters. Although many of the proposed amendments fall outside the Grassroot Institute of… -
Hawaii Democrats rally on westside as Election Day approachesHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Democratic leaders gathered Wednesday to rally supporters and encourage voter participation ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. The rally at Kapolei High School brought together party leaders and supporters to… -
PauseFest Encourages Hawaii Families to Unplug, Slow Down and ReconnectBy Bo Erickson and Kanishka Singh FORT MYERS, Florida, Oct 23 (Reuters) - US President Donald Trump said on Friday Washington may carry out another military operation against Iran at a time when the The Trump administration is suing to… -
Lines Drawn In Hawaii Battle: Golf Course Views Vs. Luxury DevelopmentOn an 8,000-acre peninsula of pricey hotels, vacation condominiums and multimillion-dollar homes, the resort community of Princeville on Kaua‘i’s picture-perfect North Shore is the site of an escalating feud. And the community — a mix of… -
Will 2027 be the year for fiscal notes to accompany bills in Hawaii?The idea that every bill ought to come with a price tag should not be revolutionary. Actually, it isn’t. Hawaii and Vermont are the only states without some kind of law on the books mandating that so-called fiscal notes accompany any… -
Hawaii receives nearly $400k federal grant for pesticide enforcementThe University of Hawaii was awarded a $2.5 million grant to help expand oncology care, clinical research and specialist training across the islands. As the sports season flies by, the University of ... Hawaii receives nearly $400k federal… -
Hawaii Medicare options help kupuna find peace of mind before annual election period endsEdward and Travis Motosue join HI Now Daily with Hawaii Medicare updates for Annual Election Period Oct. 15 to Dec. 7 to help kupuna. Hawaii Medicare options help kupuna find peace of mind before annual election period ends Hampton Inn… -
Hawaii Likely Needs $1B in Disaster Recovery, Resilience FundsLate last month, Hawaii Governor Josh Green announced preliminary estimates suggesting $1 billion is needed to fund repair and mitigation following four major disasters that struck the Pacific island this year. Current estimates and… -
Democratic Voices: HawaiiWelcome to Democratic Voices, a series that features elected Democrats speaking out on Bluesky. Expect a few days of less then perfect Democratic Voice….. stuff going on in Real Life. If your a feel free to add the missing comments etc…or… -
Hawaii Green Fee program seeks new ideas before Nov. 1 deadlineKITV Hawaii's Green Fee program has generated more than $100 million for projects focused on environmental stewardship, climate and hazard resilience, and sustainable tourism. Residents can submit ideas and support proposed projects before… -
Vote comfortably at home during Hawaii general election seasonHawaii voting is easy with mailed ballots, free tracking, drop boxes and early Voter Service Centers ahead of the Nov. 3 General Election. Vote comfortably at home during Hawaii general election season Ala Moana Hotel Thanksgiving to-go… -
PUC RESCHEDULES HILO PUBLIC HEARING ON HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC RATE CASE REBASING APPLICATION – New Date is November 4; Public Informational Meeting on Hawaiian Electric’s Service Reliability to FollowKA MOKU ʻĀINA O HAWAIʻI KA ʻOIHANA PILI KĀLEPA PUC RESCHEDULES HILO PUBLIC HEARING ON HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC RATE CASE REBASING APPLICATION New Date is November 4; Public Informational Meeting on Hawaiian Electric’s Service Reliability to…
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All state & local ›Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?
93%Amendment 3
- Amendment 393%
- Amendment 478%
- Amendment 177%▼ 1
1 more
- Amendment 266%
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?
97%Citizens Only Voting Amendment
- Citizens Only Voting Amendment97%▲ 1
- Right to Keep and Bear Arms Amendment93%▲ 1
- Water Infrastructure Bond Question86%▲ 1
1 more
- Economic Development Districts Amendment57%▲ 1
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
87%Proposition 316
- Proposition 31687%▲ 2
- Proposition 14184%
- Proposition 31984%▲ 1
5 more
- Proposition 31774%▲ 1
- Proposition 14266%
- Proposition 31863%▼ 1
- Proposition 32053%
- Proposition 14451%▼ 2
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
78%Proposition 136
- Proposition 13678%▼ 4
- Proposition 13274%▼ 3
- Proposition 13371%▲ 1
11 more
- Amendment 8570%▼ 3
- Amendment 8467%▲ 2
- Proposition 13763%▲ 1
- Amendment 8361%▲ 1
- Amendment 8660%▲ 1
- Proposition NN56%▼ 1
- Proposition 13449%▲ 29
- Proposition 13544%▲ 12
- Amendment 8140%▲ 1
- Amendment 8235%▲ 18
- Amendment 8727%▲ 3
Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?
67%Amendment 1
- Amendment 167%▲ 1
- Amendment 264%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions