Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?
The odds
$258.16median
$200$450
Median $258.16Middle half $246.30 – $268.04
How the odds have moved
Median: $258.16 on Oct 19, $258.16 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $220 billion | 95% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| Above $240 billion | 84% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | |
| Above $250 billion | 70% | ▼ 1 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 15.00 |
| Above $260 billion | 46% | ▼ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| Above $270 billion | 20% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 205 |
| Above $280 billion | 13% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| Above $290 billion | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| Above $300 billion | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| Above $310 billion | 6% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| Above $320 billion | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| Above $350 billion | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Above $400 billion | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: USDC, USDT
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All companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
72%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA72%▲ 4
- Apple26%▼ 3
- Alphabet2%
5 more
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
88%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA88%▲ 4
- Apple9%▼ 5
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 (average passenger fare in Q3 2026)
$230.13median
$180$245
Median $230.13Middle half $225.56 – $233.47
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
644.1median
540720
Median 644.1Middle half 629.7 – 655
Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
64.0median
4189
Median 64.0Middle half 59.2 – 68.6
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.