Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
Install
SoFi members in fiscal 2026
The odds
18.31Mmedian
17.40M18.80M
Median 18.31MMiddle half 18.12M – 18.50M
How the odds have moved
Median: 18.31M on Oct 19, 18.31M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 17.6 million | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 38.00 | |
| Above 17.8 million | 96% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 528 |
| Above 18 million | 88% | ▼ 1 | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| Above 18.2 million | 66% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 86.00 |
| Above 18.4 million | 36% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | |
| Above 18.6 million | 15% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 492 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SoFi
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$230.13median
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Median $230.13Middle half $225.56 – $233.47
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.