US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
436,047median
250,000650,000
Median 436,047
Install
Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027
The odds
44.7median
21.061
Median 44.7Middle half 40.9 – 47.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.6 on Oct 20, 44.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 29 million | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 164 | ||
| Between 29 and 36.99 million | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 269 | |
| Between 37 and 42.99 million | 31% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 5.7K | |
| Between 43 and 48.99 million | 48% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 1.7K | |
| Between 49 and 55 million | 10% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.1K | |
| Above 55 million | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bristol Bay
Search ›- Juvenile sockeye abundance backs forecast for smaller Bristol Bay salmon harvest in 2027IntraFish Juvenile sockeye abundance backs forecast for smaller Bristol Bay salmon harvest in 2027 Juvenile abundance data from the Eastern Bering Sea is reinforcing expectations that Bristol Bay's sockeye salmon run next year will remain…
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Fisheries, rising costs and schools dominate Southwestern Alaska House debateFour candidates are vying for an open seat to represent the Southwestern Alaska House District 37, one of the state's largest rural districts where fisheries, skyrocketing costs of living, transportation and schools are top of mind this… -
Begich, Hill talk priorities, energy, during Fairbanks forumRep. Nick Begich, R-Alaska, left, and Bristol Bay independent Bill Hill answer questions during a Greater Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce candidate forum on Tuesday. Rep. Nick Begich, R-Alaska, left, and Bristol Bay independent Bill Hill… -
Sullivan cites hard working record during Chamber forumSen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), right, and Meg Nordale, president of GHEMM Co., discuss the U.S. Senate race during a Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce conversation on Tuesday. In a one-person, conversational panel at the Greater Fairbanks… -
Juneau leads Alaska’s early voting start, with Eagle River and Mat-Su close behindHome » Juneau leads Alaska’s early voting start, with Eagle River and Mat-Su close behind Alaskans cast 6,744 early votes in the opening stretch of general election voting, according to an unofficial Division of Elections report released… -
Climate change is turning seafood into a luxury item.Climate change is making fishing and seafood harvesting in the US increasingly expensive, driving up the prices of fish that were once a familiar food item. David Leck still remembers trips with his parents to Hood Canal, a few hours'… -
Salmonfest expands community giving with $15,000 monthly pledgePublished 6:30 am Sunday, October 18, 2026 By Jeffrey Kennett Homer News Writer Salmonfest’s stages have been quiet since August, but the music festival is extending its reach outside the summer with a pledge to distribute $15,000 a month… -
I Went to the Woods: Online streaming feeds need for data centersPublished 4:30 am Saturday, October 17, 2026 The author fished the Kvichak River in June. Beyond Lake Iliamna (pictured) headwaters of this river would be consumed by the Pebble Mine, if it is ever built. (Courtesy of Jeff Lund) Data… -
Fisheries Information System ProgramThe Fisheries Information System program is a state-regional-federal partnership supporting sound, science-based fisheries management. We do so by fostering collaboration and funding innovative projects to improve the quality of… - The bears of Alaska's bear cam should have left the river by now. Why are they still here?Thousands of fish are ripped to shreds along the Brooks River each July. With a glut of fresh salmon at their disposal, many brown bears just munch the fatty skin and brains of the fish, leaving the bright red meat for lesser bears. By…
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Begich and Hill spar over affordability, healthcare and each other’s records in Debate for the StateAlaska’s sole member of the U.S. House, Republican Nick Begich, and his challenger, Independent Bill Hill, made their case to voters during Debate for the State Wednesday night. The candidates answered, and sometimes dodged, questions…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions