SNL: Lorne Michaels' successor for showrunner (Before 2028)
KalshiCulture › CelebritiesCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $12 today · $15.6K traded · $4.4K at stake · prices read 2 h ago
The odds
35%Tina Fey
Tina Fey35%▼ 1
Steve Higgins35%▲ 2
Colin Jost14%
Kenan Thompson11%
Seth Meyers9%
Judd Apatow4%
Mike Shoemaker3%
Bill Hader2%
Maya Rudolph2%
How the odds have moved
Tina Fey: 35% on Oct 20, 35% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Tina Fey
35%
▼ 1
35¢
37¢
$2.70
19.4K
Steve Higgins
35%
▲ 2
35¢
38¢
$2.63
14.1K
Colin Jost
14%
14¢
18¢
$5.56
9.4K
Kenan Thompson
11%
11¢
13¢
$7.69
5.4K
Seth Meyers
9%
9¢
11¢
$9.09
10.3K
Judd Apatow
4%
1¢
8¢
$12.50
1.2K
Mike Shoemaker
3%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
2.2K
Bill Hader
2%
6¢
$16.67
866
Maya Rudolph
2%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
4.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.