The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score
78.3median
4095
Median 78.3Middle half 64.3 – 86.0
Install
How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?
The odds
89%At least 60
4065
How the odds have moved
At least 45: 95% on Oct 20, 96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 45 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 16.0K | |
| At least 50 | 95% | 93¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 10.5K | |
| At least 55 | 93% | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 7.9K | |
| At least 60 | 89% | 87¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 10.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Klara and the Sun · Rotten Tomatoes score
23.9median
095
Median 23.9Middle half 22.9 – 24.9
Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
80%Above 99
40100
Next James Bond actor?
31%No Bond chosen
- No Bond chosen31%▲ 12
- Jack Lowden29%▼ 9
- Callum Turner19%▲ 3
21 more
- Josh O'Connor6%▼ 2
- Jacob Elordi5%▼ 1
- James Norton4%▼ 1
- Jack Barton2%▼ 1
- Tom Francis2%▼ 1
- Henry Cavill1%
- Jack O'Connell<1%▼ 1
- Richard Madden<1%
- Harris Dickinson<1%▼ 1
- Paul Mescal<1%
- Theo James<1%
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
- Tom Hardy<1%
- Pierce Brosnan<1%
- Tom Holland<1%
- Robert James-Collier<1%
- Timothee Chalamet<1%
- Michael B Jordan<1%
- Nicholas Galitzine<1%
- Jonathan Bailey<1%
- Tom Blyth<1%
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
67.3median
4095
Median 67.3Middle half 53.9 – 78.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions