Largest Company end of October 2026?
59%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA59%▼ 7
- Apple37%▲ 4
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026
The odds
10.73%median
8.5%16%
Median 10.73%Middle half 9.94% – 11.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.71% on Oct 20, 10.73% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.6K | |
| Above 9.5% | 93% | 91¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.5K | |
| Above 10% | 73% | 70¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 156 | |
| Above 10.5% | 59% | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 851 | |
| Above 11% | 39% | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 1.1K | |
| Above 11.5% | 29% | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 2.1K | |
| Above 12% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 4.4K | |
| Above 12.5% | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 6.4K | |
| Above 13% | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.0K | |
| Above 13.5% | 5% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.9K | |
| Above 14% | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 460 | |
| Above 14.5% | 5% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 79.00 | |
| Above 15% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 4.1K | ||
| Above 15.5% | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sweetgreen
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.