KalshiFinanceCloses Nov 7 · $787 today · $10.8K traded · $6.5K at stake · prices read 30 min ago
The odds
95.6median
79104
Median95.6Middle half94.2 – 96.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 94.7 on Oct 20, 95.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 82
98%
97¢
98¢
$1.02
1.5K
Above 85
98%
98¢
99¢
$1.01
20.00
Above 88
98%
97¢
98¢
$1.02
38.00
Above 91
97%
96¢
97¢
$1.03
6.1K
Above 94
77%
76¢
77¢
$1.30
2.4K
Above 95
69%
▲ 6
67¢
70¢
$1.43
141
Above 96
38%
▼ 1
37¢
38¢
$2.63
1.8K
Above 97
20%
▼ 5
19¢
20¢
$5.00
2.9K
Above 98
12%
11¢
12¢
$8.33
1.5K
Above 101
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions