Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027
4.37%median
1%8%
Median 4.37%Middle half 2.6% – 6.12%
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Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027
The odds
41,549median
41,35041,850
Median 41,549Middle half 41,479 – 41,664
How the odds have moved
Median: 41,546 on Oct 19, 41,549 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 41400 | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 27.00 | |
| Above 41450 | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 201 | |
| Above 41500 | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 459 | |
| Above 41550 | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 240 | |
| Above 41600 | 33% | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 29.00 | |
| Above 41650 | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 56.00 | |
| Above 41700 | 20% | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 60.00 | |
| Above 41750 | 13% | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 258 | |
| Above 41800 | 12% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 368 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Starbucks
Search ›-
How Does Starbucks Make Money? The Starbucks Business Model ExplainedBy AkankshaSaturday October 24, 2026 This piece breaks down how Starbucks makes money, why its business strategy leans so heavily on scale and repeat purchases, and where the model is now being tested by rising costs and slower footfall… -
No purchase, no seats: Starbucks China rolls out new policy"Purchase to sit" signs are popping up in Starbucks stores around China Taking a seat at a Starbucks in China? Just make sure you're also ordering something there. A new policy by Starbucks China takes effect across all its 8,000 stores on… -
No order, no seat: Starbucks China rolls out new store policyTaking a seat at a Starbucks in China? Just make sure you're also ordering something there. A new policy by Starbucks China takes effect across all its 8,000 stores on Thursday, making it mandatory for people to purchase items if they want… -
Starbucks in SEA Airport’s Terminal A to close, affecting 13 employeesSEA TAC, Wash. — A WARN notice filed by HMSHost lists layoffs affecting 135 Starbucks workers in Seattle and at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA), including 13 employees at an airport location that is closing. The Starbucks in… -
What Could Lift Starbucks Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Starbucks’ Upside Comes From Wider Margins And Higher Sales The profit Starbucks makes on each sale matters most. In the scenario in the table below, Starbucks… -
Starbucks Refreshers Strawberry Acai Concentrate Only $6.99 on AmazonFor a limited time, dash over to Amazon where you can snag this Starbucks Refreshers Concentrate Strawberry Acai 32oz for just $6.99 (regularly $8.97)! Starbucks Refreshers Concentrate Strawberry Acai 32oz Only $6.99 (reg. $8.97)! *Compare… -
We Tried Ordering Starbucks in a Pumpkin - and It Actually WorkedFall has officially arrived at Starbucks, and one curious Rock Hill Herald reporter decided to put a seasonal twist to the test by trying to order a coffee served in a pumpkin. The unusual request turned out to be more doable than… -
Starbucks stores worldwide: Top 15 countries with the most outlets, US leads with 16,933Starbucks' global footprint remains heavily concentrated in the United States and China, with several Asian markets also emerging as major hubs for the coffee chain. The latest figures featured in Visual Capitalist's country-wise mapping… -
Starbucks Pledges Up to 650 New Stores While Closing 1% of North American CoffeehousesLisa Fotios and Abhinav Goswami from Pexels via Canva Two weeks ago, Starbucks (SBUX) had to tell the market it was not buying Chipotle (CMG). That says a lot about how confident investors have become in Brian Niccol’s turnaround. The… -
Starbucks Policy Shift Hits China’s Unemployed White-Collar WorkersA recent policy change across Starbucks locations in China has dealt a blow to the country’s growing population of unemployed white-collar professionals. Effective Oct. 22, all 8,000 Starbucks stores operating across China have instituted… -
Black Cat Frappuccino Arrives As Starbucks Faces A Critical Holiday TestThe launch comes as Starbucks enters the critical holiday season with sales momentum building, stores undergoing extensive refreshes and investors waiting to see if the company can sustain progress, even as contract negotiations with… - Starbucks refused permission for drive-thru at Galway Shopping CentreStarbucks has been refused permission for a drive through at Galway Shopping Centre on the Headford Road. A company called Atercin Liffey Unlimited submitted the permission to Galway City Council for the drive-through hatch near Supermacs…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions