Largest Company end of October 2026?
59%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA59%▼ 4
- Apple38%▲ 2
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026
The odds
23.9median
2134
Median 23.9Middle half 22.7 – 25.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 24.7 on Oct 19, 23.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 22 | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| Above 23 | 70% | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| Above 24 | 48% | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 630 | |
| Above 25 | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 257 | |
| Above 26 | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 5.00 | |
| Above 27 | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 254 | |
| Above 28 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 415 |
| Above 29 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 |
| Above 30 | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Above 31 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Above 32 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Above 33 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rocket Lab
Search ›-
Rocket Lab launches 3 'Hawk' satellites to orbit to gather signals intelligenceIt was Rocket Lab's 19th mission of the year. Rocket Lab launched a trio of private signals-intelligence satellites to orbit today (Oct. 23). The mission lifted off aboard an Electron rocket from Rocket Lab’s New Zealand launch site today… -
Rocket Lab launches 98th Electron missionRocket Lab launched three HawkEye 360 satellites on Electron, boosting RF intelligence and maritime tracking. karelnoppe/iStock via Getty Images Rocket Lab (RKLB) launched its Electron rocket from Launch Complex 1 in New Zealand, carrying… -
MISSION SUCCESS: Rocket Lab Launches 98th Electron Mission--Rocket Lab Corporation, a global leader in launch services and space systems, today launched its Electron rocket to deliver a dedicated mission to space for HawkEye 360, a signals intelligence data and analytics company. The‘ We're Not… -
Long Rocket Lab, Short AST SpaceMobile: One Owns Its Path, The Other Rents It From SpaceXRocket Lab Corporation is upgraded to Buy, while AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell, reinforcing the pair trade thesis after recent corrections. Click for more. - Rocket Lab Corporation is upgraded to Buy, while AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell… - Rocket Lab | Neutron Update [7:05]Chapter 1: Introduction and Legal Welcome to today’s Neutron update with Rocket Lab CEO, Sir Peter Beck. Now, before we begin, the presentation today involves our plans and expectations for the future of Neutron and Rocket Lab. And this…
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If I Could Only Buy 1 Space Stock After the Rocket Lab Crash, It Would Be This OneAnother challenge that exacerbated the sell-off was Ligado Networks' request for the FCC to probe Rocket Lab's planned takeover of the satellite network operator Iridium (IRDM -2.08%). Ligado claims the acquisition would be… -
Cantor Fitzgerald Sticks to Their Buy Rating for Rocket Lab USA (RKLB)Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Andres Sheppard reiterated a Buy rating on Rocket Lab USA yesterday. The company’s shares closed yesterday at $51.36. Sheppard covers the Consumer Cyclical sector, focusing on stocks such as EVgo, Aurora… -
Rocket Lab Stock Plunged After a New Neutron Setback: What This Delay Really Means for InvestorsRocket Lab's Neutron setback forces investors to reassess launch timelines and valuation. A recent manufacturing setback for Rocket Lab (RKLB +5.44%) raises new questions about Neutron's timeline, costs, and long‑term growth potential… -
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) Stock Price Up 1% – What’s Next?Posted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 21st, 2026 Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ:RKLB – Get Free Report) shares shot up 1% during mid-day trading on Monday. The company traded as high as $52.99 and last traded at $51.36. 16,896,620 shares traded… -
SpaceX and AST SpaceMobile Sink 6%, Rocket Lab Falls 5% as Tech Selloff Hits High-Flying Space StocksHigh-flying tech stocks are sliding on a risk-off turn, and space names are falling hardest. SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX | SPCX Price Prediction) stock is leading the drop just days after the company posted its first profitable quarter. Shares of… - ARK Sells $5.8M Alphabet, Buys $34M Rocket Lab [2026]Side by side, the table above is less a verdict on which stock is the better buy and more an illustration of what kind of risk each position carries. Alphabet’s numbers are large, reported, and already showing up in the business. Rocket…
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Rocket Lab Just Had the Worst Week in Its History. Here's What I'd Do With the Stock Now.Rocket Lab's (RKLB +5.44%) stock price declined 23% from Oct. 12 to Oct. 16, marking its worst single-week decline since its public debut five years ago. Let's see what caused Rocket Lab's stock to fizzle out -- and if that pullback…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.