Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
Install
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
The odds
69,083median
36,00076,000
Median 69,083Middle half 62,364 – 73,071
How the odds have moved
Median: 69,000 on Oct 20, 69,083 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38000 | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 161 | |
| Above 40000 | 94% | ▼ 3 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 9.3K |
| Above 42000 | 92% | ▼ 2 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 6.7K |
| Above 44000 | 91% | ▼ 2 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 7.0K |
| Above 46000 | 91% | ▼ 2 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 15.1K |
| Above 48000 | 91% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 12.3K |
| Above 50000 | 88% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 9.6K |
| Above 52000 | 86% | ▼ 1 | 83¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 14.0K |
| Above 54000 | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 411 | |
| Above 56000 | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 504 | |
| Above 58000 | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| Above 60000 | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 1.2K | |
| Above 62000 | 76% | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 521 | |
| Above 64000 | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 882 | |
| Above 66000 | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 791 | |
| Above 68000 | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 880 | |
| Above 70000 | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| Above 72000 | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| Above 74000 | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 11.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rivian
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.