Largest Company end of October 2026?
80%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA80%▲ 8
- Apple18%▼ 5
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
The odds
27,600median
13,00037,000
Median 27,600Middle half 24,333 – 31,167
How the odds have moved
Median: 27,588 on Oct 20, 27,600 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15000 | 98% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 200 | ||
| Above 17000 | 98% | 96¢ | $1.03 | 400 | ||
| Above 19000 | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| Above 21000 | 92% | 89¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 400 | |
| Above 23000 | 83% | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 190 | |
| Above 25000 | 71% | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 1.8K | |
| Above 27000 | 57% | 54¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.3K | |
| Above 29000 | 33% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 1.2K |
| Above 31000 | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 429 |
| Above 33000 | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| Above 35000 | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 236 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rivian
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Rivian buys world model startup to accelerate self-driving ambitionsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. EV maker Rivian has acquired Third Dimension, a UK startup founded by veterans of the gaming and autonomous vehicle industries that uses AI to turn images and videos into… -
Rivian stock has flagged an inverted H&S pattern: will the rally continue?Buy RIVN. The chart is bullish (golden cross, inverted H&S confirmed above $18.17) and momentum is likely to carry into earnings (July 30). Deliveries rose to 12,194 in Q2, supporting the narrative that demand is improving while new models… -
The BMW iX3 Destroyed The Rivian R2 In A Highway Range TestBy the time the Rivian R2 finished this highway range test, the BMW iX3 still had enough driving left to make its driver reconsider volunteering. Nearly 127 miles separated them when the BMW finally called it quits. Out of Spec Testing… -
Can Record Deliveries Finally Cure Rivian’s Cash Burn on Oct. 29?Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN | RIVN Price Prediction) reports third-quarter results on Oct. 29. We already know deliveries hit a record. What I want to know is whether that volume is finally slowing the cash burn. Shares have fallen… -
Rivian to Participate in Evercore ADAS, AV & AI ForumRivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) is an American automotive technology company that develops and manufactures category-defining electric vehicles as well as vertically integrated technologies and services. (NASDAQ: RIVN) has today announced that on… - Rivian cuts 600 jobs in third layoff round this yearRivian has now cut staff three times in 2026: 140 manufacturing roles in June, a sales and service trim in September, and 600 more jobs this week, even as CEO RJ Scaringe takes on marketing duties himself. RJ Scaringe has taken over…
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Engadget review recap: iPhone Duo, Rivian R2 and moreA roundup of recent reviews from Engadget. There's no doubt the iPhone Duo was one of the most-anticipated devices of the year. Surprisingly, Apple's first attempt at a folding phone doesn't seem like a first-generation device. Yes, it's… - Rivian buys world model startup to accelerate self-driving ambitions \ stacker newsEV maker Rivian has acquired Third Dimension, a U.K. startup founded by veterans of the gaming and autonomous vehicle industries that uses AI to turn images and videos into lifelike 3D worlds. Now, under Rivian, they’ll be focused on…
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Rivian Acquires Third Dimension AI to Accelerate Self-DrivingRivian Automotive has acquired Third Dimension AI Inc., a firm that specializes in AI-powered 3D spatial generation, to scale autonomy. Rivian Acquires Third Dimension AI to Accelerate Self-Driving Firm's simulation platform to generate… -
Rivian Shines as a Bright Spot in a Down U.S. EV Market, and Surprisingly, It's Not All R2 DrivenWith that said, let's take a look at the newest data that highlights Rivian Automotive's (RIVN -1.91%) surge toward the top during a rough overall month, trailing only Tesla (TSLA -0.63%) in August EV registrations. Going forward, after… -
Prediction: Here's What a $5,000 Investment in Rivian Will Be Worth in 5 YearsRivian Automotive (RIVN -1.16%) trades around $12 per share, giving the electric vehicle manufacturer a market capitalization of about $18 billion. That's a fraction of Tesla's valuation, but Rivian still has a long way to go before… -
Recent Tech Reviews: iPhone Duo, Rivian R2, Ray-Ban Meta Audio Glasses, Technics EAH-A1000, ASUS ProArt P16Home » Technology » Recent Tech Reviews: iPhone Duo, Rivian R2, Ray-Ban Meta Audio Glasses, Technics EAH-A1000, ASUS ProArt P16 In a significant surge of new technology releases, Engadget has recently evaluated a range of innovative…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions