Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA? (Before 2028)

Kalshi Finance Closes Nov 30, 2027 · $2K traded · $666 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

33%Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 20261%
Before Dec 1, 20265%
Before Jul 1, 202733%
Before Dec 1, 202733%

How the odds have moved

Before Nov 1, 2026: 5% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026	2%		$50.00	4.2K
Before Nov 1, 2026	1%	2¢	$50.00	2.9K
Before Dec 1, 2026	5%	9¢	$11.11	2.0K
Before Jul 1, 2027	33%	11¢	$9.09	2.6K
Before Dec 1, 2027	33%	40¢	$2.50	2.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Paramount

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Paramount+ Lands 'Zero Hour' Sci-Fi Series From AGBO (Exclusive)Deadline · 4 days agoThe project landed at Paramount+ in a competitive situation involving multiple bidders. It is the streamer’s first known major buy in the genre/sci-fi/world-building arena. It is unclear how Paramount+’s programming strategy may change…
Paramount WBD Merger Opponents Seek Injunction To Separate Streamers Paramount+ & HBO MaxDeadline · 7 days agoAmidst shaky stock performance and big debts, Paramount & Warner Bros Discovery parent company Skydance now faces a new court challenge to their authority over their streaming assets and corporate strategy. In their long and likely rocky…
Daisy Ridley to Star in New Take on ‘Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea’ at Paramount+Variety · 5 days agoDaisy Ridley is about to go on another epic journey. Ridley is set to star in and executive produce “Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea,” an eight-episode series that has been ordered by Paramount+. Oscar winner Akiva Goldsman (“A Beautiful…
‘Lioness’ Season 3 Closes With 9.7 Million Viewers in Seven Days, a Series High and the No. 5 Paramount+ Finale EverVariety · 6 days ago'Lioness' concluded its third season with a record-breaking 9.7 million viewers in seven days. ‘Lioness’ Season 3 Closes With 9.7 Million Viewers in Seven Days, a Series High and the No. 5 Paramount+ Finale Ever “Lioness” showed strong…
What's next for Skydance after the Paramount-Warner Bros. merger?Washington Examiner · 7 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
BAND-MAID at The Paramount, New York, Monday,JROCK NEWS · 4 days agoJapanese rock band BAND-MAID brought World Tour 2026 to The Paramount in Huntington, New York, on October 5, 2026. Known for uniquely combining maid-inspired outfits and hard-hitting rock music, the five-piece band delivered a night packed…
Paramount Skydance Corp (PSKY) Stock: Impulse Wave Fails, Bearish Trend ReassertsFX Leaders · 4 days agoParamount Skydance Corp (NASDAQ: PSKY) saw an exceptional speculative surge between 2020 and 2021, rallying over 900% in a parabolic move — a form of price action that is historically unsustainable and often marks the terminal phase of a…
Networking in the cards at ParamountHalston Media Group · 6 days agoBusiness connections were in the cards at the Somers Chamber of Commerce’s “Step Into My Crystal Ball” mixer on Oct. 14. Hosted by The Paramount at Somers Rehabilitation & Nursing Center, the evening featured signature cocktails, light…
XCF Global announces agreement to acquire Paramount, California renewable fuel production facilityBiodiesel Magazine · 4 days agoBY XCF Global Inc. CoBank on Oct. 7 released its latest quarterly insights report, which discusses the impact of 45Z clean fuel production credits and fuel mandates on biofuel demand and highlights how soaring fuel prices are impacting the…
When does MobLand Season 2 Episode 6 Drop on Paramount+?DraftKings Network · 4 days agoThe second half of Mobland’s second season officially begins this week! In the fifth episode, we saw the feud between the Harrigans, Kat, and Frankie take a new turn. Frankie continues to pressure the Harrigans and get the best of them…
How to Cancel - Paramount+ Guide - IGNIGN · 6 days agoParamount+ is home to incredible original programming, including the Star Trek Universe, as well as acting as the streaming home of UFC, CBS, Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, and more. However, if you want to cancel your Paramount+ plan, it’s…
Netflix Under Siege: Paramount’s $30/Share Strike, Powered by Trump Ally, Rocks Warner AuctionFX Leaders · 4 days agoParamount Skydance made a hostile takeover bid for the company on Monday, days after Warner Bros. Discovery reached an agreement with Netflix, offering $30 per share in cash. Warner Bros. is valued in the offer. at $108.4 billion, debt…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMarketWatch, company, Securities and Exchange Commission

Trading closesNov 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$2K (14,598 contracts)

At stake$666

In the news26 headlines today, 225 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Paramount officially announces a relocation of its corporate headquarters to anywhere outside the greater Los Angeles metropolitan area after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions