Largest Company end of October 2026?
84%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA84%▲ 7
- Apple15%▼ 7
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Ferrari shipments in Q3 (total number of car shipments in Q3 2026)
The odds
3,340median
3,2003,625
Median 3,340Middle half 3,285 – 3,434
How the odds have moved
Median: 3,339 on Oct 20, 3,340 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3225 | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 76.00 | |
| Above 3250 | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| Above 3275 | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| Above 3300 | 67% | 62¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 43.00 | |
| Above 3325 | 57% | 52¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 3.00 | |
| Above 3350 | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 309 | |
| Above 3375 | 38% | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 331 | |
| Above 3400 | 32% | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 1.9K | |
| Above 3425 | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 3.3K | |
| Above 3450 | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.8K |
| Above 3475 | 15% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 97.00 |
| Above 3500 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 106 |
| Above 3525 | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 50.00 | |
| Above 3550 | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 82.00 | |
| Above 3575 | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.00 | ||
| Above 3600 | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 650 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ferrari
Search ›-
Charles Leclerc reveals Ferrari breakthrough after United States GP podiumCharles Leclerc believes he has "unlocked something" in his driving with Ferrari in recent races and is confident he will have a shot at victory before the end of the 2026 Formula 1 season. The Monegasque driver finished second in the… -
Lewis Hamilton reveals the Ferrari setup mistake that cost him US GP podiumLewis Hamilton believes the set-up he ran on his Ferrari during the United States Grand Prix left much to be desired, with his front wing being "12 clicks down" for much of the race. According to the seven-time champion, this is what… -
Why Ferrari failed to deliver on its hype in F1's United States GP qualifyingFerrari had been pegged as the team to beat after practice at the United States Grand Prix, but ultimately found itself wanting when it came to qualifying and failed to find enough progression through Q3. Charles Leclerc had headlined both… - Charles Leclerc reveals where Ferrari lost pace in Q3 after qualifying setbackCharles Leclerc blamed Ferrari's tyre performance after his team fell out of contention for the battle for pole at the United States Grand Prix. Ferrari had been expected to battle Max Verstappen for pole after Leclerc topped the first two…
- Charles Leclerc seeking answers after Ferrari hopes fall short in United States GP qualifyingCharles Leclerc has said Ferrari needs to find answers to why it appears to struggle so much compared to its rivals to extract the most out of Q3 after another deflating qualifying performance at the ...
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Ferrari drivers deliver disappointing verdict on much-hyped United States GP upgradeBoth Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc have played down the expectations surrounding the upgrade the Ferrari team is bringing for this race weekend in Austin. The Scuderia has arrived at the Circuit of the Americas with what looks like a… -
Why another Ferrari pole bid falteredFriday Formula 1 pacesetter Ferrari fell short of a grand prix pole position for the 18th time in 2026, this time at Austin, because of two familiar weaknesses and unfortunate timing. Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton ended up fourth and… -
Damning Aston Martin comparison proves Hamilton is right about Ferrari engineFerrari drivers Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc qualified a disappointing fourth and fifth for the United States Grand Prix. After Leclerc set the pace in FP2 and Hamilton was quickest in FP3, Ferrari looked like pole contenders – if… -
Forget Modern Supercars, This Ferrari 308 Tribute Has Everything Enthusiasts WantFerrari's classic 308 GTB is one of the most recognizable Italian sports cars ever built. Its wedge-shaped styling and naturally aspirated V8 have aged exceptionally well, but don't expect the Italian company to revive the model anytime… -
Ferrari Luce Costs $560,800 in the U.S., $55,657 Above Europe’s Pre-Tax PriceThe Ferrari Luce starts at $560,800 in the U.S. before options and sales tax, which is $55,657 above its European price once Italy's 22% VAT is taken out. The Ferrari Luce starts at $560,800 in the United States before options, Ferrari has… -
Kimi Antonelli faces Ferrari-shaped threat to his title hopesKimi Antonelli faces a Ferrari-shaped threat to his hopes of clinching the Formula One world championship in Texas as Lewis Hamilton topped final practice at the United States Grand Prix. The Scuderia have brought an upgraded package to… -
Hamilton vs Leclerc battle shows Vasseur has laid down new rule at FerrariFerrari drivers Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc started one place apart at the United States Grand Prix on Sunday. After they both cleared Isack Hadjar, Leclerc brilliantly passed Max Verstappen through the Esses, and Hamilton almost…
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The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 (comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026)
10.79%median
3%12.5%
Median 10.79%Middle half 8.5% – 11.74%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions