The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Oct 23, 2026
1%
▼ 1
$100.00
14.7K
Before Oct 30, 2026
6%
▲ 1
4¢
7¢
$14.29
7.7K
Before Nov 6, 2026
15%
▼ 4
12¢
18¢
$5.56
4.5K
Before Nov 13, 2026
27%
▼ 3
26¢
28¢
$3.57
1.0K
Before Nov 20, 2026
34%
▼ 1
31¢
37¢
$2.70
2.2K
Before Nov 27, 2026
39%
▲ 1
36¢
41¢
$2.44
3.3K
Before Dec 4, 2026
54%
▲ 1
50¢
57¢
$1.75
2.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Leavitt Delivers Blunt Verdict on Zacharia’s Brief Press Secretary StintNewsweek · 3 days agoOct 22, 2026 at 04:09 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 04:26 PM EDT Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has offered a frank assessment of Katie Zacharia’s brief tenure as her successor, saying the high-profile role “obviously was not…
Weekly quiz: How long did Katie Zacharia last as White House press secretary?BBC News · 3 days agoThis week, cities across France were hit by a night of violent protests, the UK government approved the controversial Jackdaw gas field, and Tesla unveiled a flying car. Quiz collated by Ben Fell. Fancy some more? Try last week's quiz, or…
Anna Kelly emerges as leading contender for Trump’s Press Secretary roleCrypto Briefing · 34 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Saying goodbye to the latest White House press secretary | CartoonYahoo News · 15 h agoThis article originally appeared on The Repository: Saying goodbye to the latest White House press secretary | Cartoon A new station is set to be built at Bradford Interchange as part of the Northern Powerhouse Rail project. Following the…
Press Secretary Dramedy – C5 TVLiberty Nation News · 2 days agoBlonde after blonde, the pretty girls are becoming less capable under the stress of the job. Your morning advantage. Critical news, fearless analysis, and the truth mainstream media won't tell you—delivered before your first coffee. Press…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions