2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $919 traded · $460 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

26%Justin Amash
  • Justin Amash26%
  • Chase Oliver16%
  • Dave Smith13%
  • Jo Jorgensen7%
  • Spike Cohen5%
  • Jacob Hornberger3%
  • Lars Mapstead3%
  • Joshua Smith3%
  • Gary Johnson3%
  • Michael Rectenwald2%
  • Larry Sharpe2%

How the odds have moved

Justin Amash: 30% on Oct 20, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Justin Amash 26% 23¢ 29¢ $3.45 2.0K
Chase Oliver 16% 12¢ 19¢ $5.26 682
Dave Smith 13% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.7K
Jo Jorgensen 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 781
Spike Cohen 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.35 496
Jacob Hornberger 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 9.00
Lars Mapstead 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 9.00
Joshua Smith 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 9.00
Gary Johnson 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 9.00
Michael Rectenwald 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 19.00
Larry Sharpe 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 40.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Libertarian Presidential, Justin Amash, Chase Oliver

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Elections › President 2028

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.