Who Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Nov 29 · $3.1K traded · $844 at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

26%Paul McCartney

Paul McCartney26%▼ 1
Elton John22%▲ 1
Louis Tomlinson17%
Lorde17%▲ 2
Stevie Nicks16%▼ 1
Niall Horan16%
Taylor Swift15%
Mick Fleetwood15%▲ 1
Zayn Malik14%▲ 1
Phoebe Bridgers14%
Noah Kahan14%▼ 1
Jorja Smith13%▲ 1

4 more

Charli XCX13%▲ 1
Olivia Rodrigo12%▲ 1
Bad Bunny10%▲ 1
Billie Eilish9%

How the odds have moved

Paul McCartney: 27% on Oct 20, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Paul McCartney	26%	▼ 1	22¢	30¢	$3.33	1.1K
Elton John	22%	▲ 1	18¢	25¢	$4.00	4.1K
Louis Tomlinson	17%		13¢	21¢	$4.76	115
Lorde	17%	▲ 2	13¢	20¢	$5.00	4.2K
Stevie Nicks	16%	▼ 1	13¢	19¢	$5.26	927
Niall Horan	16%		12¢	19¢	$5.26	106
Taylor Swift	15%		12¢	18¢	$5.56	341
Mick Fleetwood	15%	▲ 1	11¢	19¢	$5.26	395
Zayn Malik	14%	▲ 1	13¢	16¢	$6.25	5.2K
Phoebe Bridgers	14%		10¢	18¢	$5.56	81.00
Noah Kahan	14%	▼ 1	11¢	17¢	$5.88	561
Jorja Smith	13%	▲ 1	9¢	17¢	$5.88	139
Charli XCX	13%	▲ 1	9¢	17¢	$5.88	132
Olivia Rodrigo	12%	▲ 1	8¢	16¢	$6.25	154
Bad Bunny	10%	▲ 1	6¢	14¢	$7.14	387
Billie Eilish	9%		5¢	13¢	$7.69	312

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Harry Styles’ MSG Residency, Perform, Paul McCartney

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Harry Styles’ MSG Residency Documentary in the Works From John WilsonBillboard · 44 h agoThe film will chronicle the pop star's 30-night run at the iconic New York City venue. Harry Styles’ Madison Square Garden residency is getting the documentary treatment. The 32-year-old pop star has tapped filmmaker John Wilson to…
The 1970s single Ray Davies used to attack Paul McCartney, Elton John and “most of all Rod Stewart”Far Out Magazine · 2 days agoRock and roll is a young man’s game, and that makes the inevitable ageing process a rather tricky situation to navigate, particularly for songwriters like The Kinks songwriter, Ray Davies, who once typified the spirit of youth rock…
Alessio Dionisi Calls Watford Sacking Reports ‘Fake News' After Elton John PostYahoo Sports · 2 days agoWatford manager Alessio Dionisi says reports that he will lose his job are "fake news", though he added: "But I don't decide." Former Watford owner Elton John said he was "upset and disappointed" in a now-deleted Instagram post after the…
Here Are Paul McCartney’s Likely Grammy Competitors for Best Traditional Pop Vocal AlbumBillboard · 25 h agoThere are 111 albums on this year's entry list vying for just five or six slots on the final ballot. Albums by current pop/rock artists that were entered in this category include Charlie Puth’s Whatever’s Clever! and Role Model’s Chuck…
Paul McCartney Worried Paul Mescal Is "Shorter" Than 'The Beatles' Co-StarsDeadline · 3 days agoAs Beatles fans are transported back to Abbey Road for Sam Mendes‘ upcoming biopic, Paul McCartney has some thoughts on the casting. The Beatles alum said he was concerned that Paul Mescal looks “markedly shorter” compared to his co-stars…
50 Years Ago Today: Paul McCartney Wraps Up the Greatest Tour of His Post-Beatles CareerRolling Stone · 26 h agoGuardian writer Robin Denselow was not impressed by what he saw in Ollioules. “[It was] one of the most depressing, almost embarrassing concerts I can remember,” he wrote. “[Linda McCartney’s] nervousness and her obvious lack of talent…
Rock History: Paul McCartney, U2, Dylan, The Police, Skynyrd, Zeppelin, Al Greenwood and Tom Petty95.3 and 101.1 FM The Eagle · 7 h agoOctober 20th, 2001, Paul McCartney leads the concert for New York at Madison Square Garden. The concert raises over $35 million for the Robin Hood Foundation. Other performers include Elton John, Billy Joel, The Who, and Eric Clapton…
Paul McCartney's Hilarious Impression Of Current Pop Music Has Fans ScreamingComic Sands · 25 h agoMusic icon Paul McCartney had Amy Poehler and fans cracking up after sharing his impression of modern pop music on Poehler's Good Hang podcast—and it's hilariously accurate. Asked by Poehler what he thinks of today's music, he didn't give…
In 1971, Paul McCartney wrote a song to make peace with John Lennon. Decades later, he can barely listen to itFar Out Magazine · 7 h agoDuring his decade with The Beatles, Paul McCartney penned some of the most celebrated and beloved songs of all time. Somewhere in between the comfort of ‘Let It Be’, the melancholy of ‘Yesterday’, and the pure joy of ‘Yellow Submarine’, he…
The singer all Stevie Wonder, Robert Plant, and Paul McCartney called the greatest: “Most impressive”Far Out Magazine · 20 h agoBeing one of the greatest rock musicians of all time goes beyond being great at a bunch of different instruments. So many people think that’s the gig most of the time, but if you want to be the full package, you’re going to need to pull…
Paul McCartney Calls Some Modern Pop Songs ‘Banal,’ Says He Would Not Want to Have Written Billie Eilish’s Songs94.7 WCSX · 21 h agoPaul McCartney thinks some of today’s popular songs are “banal.” He said so on Amy Poehler’s podcast. The 84-year-old musician spoke up when Poehler asked whether any current music made him… Paul McCartney thinks some of today's popular…
Paul McCartney Goes Viral For The Most Wholesome Breakfast TraditionRadio Nova · 2 days agoPaul McCartney has delighted fans after revealing the surprisingly precise breakfast routine he follows every morning, including one very specific requirement when it comes to his favourite berries. The Beatles legend shared the details…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMSG, Fox News, MSNBC

Trading closesNov 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$3.1K (18,261 contracts)

This week$3.1K

At stake$844

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Stevie Nicks performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.