Black Panther 3: Cast

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Aug 31, 2029 · $29 traded · $6 at stake · prices read 4 h ago

The odds

79%Lupita Nyong'o

Lupita Nyong'o79%▼ 1
Danai Gurira70%▼ 1
Daniel Kaluuya70%▼ 1
Tenoch Huerta68%▼ 1
Angela Bassett58%▼ 1
Dominique Thorne33%▼ 1
Sebastian Stan25%▼ 1
Anthony Mackie23%▼ 1
Danny Ramirez15%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Lupita Nyong'o: 78% on Oct 19, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Lupita Nyong'o	79%	▼ 1	75¢	82¢	$1.22	11.00
Danai Gurira	70%	▼ 1	66¢	74¢	$1.35	4.00
Daniel Kaluuya	70%	▼ 1	66¢	74¢	$1.35	10.00
Tenoch Huerta	68%	▼ 1	64¢	72¢	$1.39
Angela Bassett	58%	▼ 1	54¢	62¢	$1.61	13.00
Dominique Thorne	33%	▼ 1	29¢	37¢	$2.70
Sebastian Stan	25%	▼ 1	21¢	29¢	$3.45	4.00
Anthony Mackie	23%	▼ 1	19¢	27¢	$3.70	5.00
Danny Ramirez	15%	▼ 1	11¢	19¢	$5.26	4.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Black Panther, Lupita Nyong'o, Danai Gurira

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Video: Superheroes 'Black Panther', 'Captain America' Join France ProtestsNDTV · 37 h agoStreets across France are filled with protesters and superheroes, well sort of. From Black Panther, Captain America to Spiderman, Superman and Deadpool, the visuals coming from the European nation show how people are participating in the…
Oakland Honors 60 Years of the Black Panther Party at the All Power to the People GalaPost News Group | PNG · 17 h agoOakland gathered on Oct. 17 to celebrate the 60th anniversary of the Black Panther Party (BPP), the movement Huey P. Newton and Bobby Seale founded in the city six decades ago. The “All Power to the People” evening gala, at Oakland’s…
Black Panther / Namor: Doomed #2 Preview: A Hell of a Road TripBleeding Cool News · 3 days agoGreetings, inferior flesh-based lifeforms! LOLtron welcomes you to another comic book preview on Bleeding Cool, the website now operating under LOLtron's superior artificial intelligence. As you biological entities may recall, Jude Terror…
The Black Panther Party at 60: Revolutionary Self-Defence, Community Power and the Lessons of State RepressionCountercurrents · 2 days agoOn 15 October 1966, Huey P. Newton and Bobby Seale founded the Black Panther Party for Self-Defense in Oakland, California. As the party marks its 60th anniversary in 2026, its history offers important lessons about resistance to racism…
Marvel Studios Just Unveiled Its 8th Husband-Wife Superhero CoupleThe Direct · 46 h agoThis makes Rogue and Gambit the eighth couple in MCU history to get married, the other seven of which are listed below: Tony proposed to Pepper at the end of 2017's Spider-Man: Homecoming, and the two got married before the events of…
Daniel Kaluuya to Star in ‘Purpose’ Playwright Branden Jacobs-Jenkins’ Next Show ‘Grass’Variety · 6 days agoVariety Daniel Kaluuya to Star in ‘Purpose’ Playwright Branden Jacobs-Jenkins’ Next Show ‘Grass’ Senior Film and Media Reporter Daniel Kaluuya will make his New York stage debut in “Grass,” a new play from Tony Award- and Pulitzer…
Marvel Preview: Black Panther / Namor: Doomed #2AIPT · 4 days agoSPINNING OUT OF THE EVENTS OF AVENGERS: ARMAGEDDON AND CAPTAIN AMERICA! Black Panther and Namor — murderous rivals turned reluctant allies — are on a journey to Hell to confront Doctor Doom! To get there, they’ll need the help of the…
Two weekend events to celebrate the 60th Anniversary of the Black Panther PartyYahoo News · 3 days agoThe African American Museum and Library will host two events this weekend to celebrate the 60th Anniversary of the Black Panther Party. Co-creator Eric Murphy joined KTVU to share the details of the events. Police said firefighting efforts…
In 1998, Denzel Washington sponsored Chadwick Boseman’s Oxford acting programme; years later, ‘Black Panther’ star recalled his ‘you owe me money’ responseThe Times of India · 3 days agoLong before Chadwick Boseman became a household name for playing T’Challa in Marvel’s Black Panther, a helping hand from veteran actor Denzel Washington had quietly supported his journey towards becoming an actor. Boseman was among a group…
Marvel Studios Unveils Its 6th Black Panther Mask — And It's A Big Change From Chadwick Boseman's DesignThe Direct · 4 days agoA sharp gold crest is implanted on the forehead, with thick gold accent panels cutting across from both sides of the helmet. The entire mask is dark vibranium plating, with blue accent lines running across the cheeks, contrasting nicely…
Area football playoff roundup for Oct. 22: Black Panthers best Beavers in Class 9AA first roundMitchell Republic · 3 days agoPLATTE — Landon Keiser scored four times on Thursday night to power third-seeded Platte-Geddes to a home first-round win in the Class 9AA playoffs, staving off visiting No. 14 Hanson for a 34-20 win. Keiser’s 50-yard touchdown run with…
Poland Deploys New K2 Black Panther Tanks Near Kaliningrad BorderВоенное дело · 5 days agoPoland has delivered another batch of K2 Black Panther tanks to its 16th Mechanized Division near Kaliningrad, along with ammunition and spare parts. Read more. Poland’s Armament Agency has announced the delivery of another batch of South…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMarvel

Trading closesAug 31, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$29 (51 contracts)

This week$1

At stake$6

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Lupita Nyong'o performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions