Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance
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Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
39%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202711%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202739%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 20% on Oct 19, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 9 AM ETBefore Jan 1, 2027: 20% → 13%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 2.9K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 39% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 405 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania, Flock
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911 dispatchers classified as first responders under new Pennsylvania lawOctober 24, 2026 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Under a new Pennsylvania law, 911 dispatchers are now classified as first responders, just like firefighters or police. The bill passed both chambers unanimously and was signed by Gov. Josh… -
Pennsylvania will require labels on AI-generated adsOn Thursday, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signed the Artificial Intelligence Deceptive Advertising Act into law, requiring disclosures on AI-generated ads. The law requires any ad - whether it's a still image, video, audio, or text… -
Allegheny County becomes first in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave policyOctober 24, 2026 / 12:06 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh On Tuesday, Allegheny County made history as the first county in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave for workers. In an 11-4 vote, Allegheny County Council passed the plan, which was… -
Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservativePennsylvania voter James Shafer explains why he went from a liberal Democrat to a conservative Republican on ‘America Reports.’ ... Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservative Pennsylvania voter James Shafer explains… -
Pennsylvania to require disclosures on AI-generated adsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
Indiana police officer arrested for using Flock cameras to search wifeJustin Craig charged with official misconduct and fraud, after searching plates of wife and ‘previous acquaintance’ An Indiana police officer has been arrested on allegations that he misused Flock cameras hundreds of times in a case… -
South Fulton holds town hall to discuss Flock Safety camerasCBS News Atlanta is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WUPA and channel 69, CBS News Atlanta offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. South Fulton holds… -
Roseville residents raise privacy concerns over Flock license plate reader cameras at public forumOctober 23, 2026 / 11:29 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento Roseville residents gathered at the Maidu Center for a public forum organized by a group called Deflock Roseville, which is raising concerns about the city's use of automated license plate… -
Poverty simulation gives Pennsylvania participants glimpse of life on tight budgetCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Poverty… -
Working-class voters could play key role in Pennsylvania House racesPennsylvania voter James Shafer discusses how inflation, rising gas prices and the economy are affecting working-class voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘America Reports.’ ... Working-class voters could play key role in… -
Pennsylvania high school football scores for October 23, 2026October 23, 2026 / 10:06 PM EDT / CBS/AP Friday night football in Pennsylvania is back for another week. As the postseason slowly approaches, there are plenty of must-see Pennsylvania Interscholastic Athletic Association games, including a… -
Flock representatives get questions about data sharing, security at South Fulton town hallOctober 23, 2026 / 10:23 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta A Flock Safety representative faced questions about privacy and immigration enforcement Thursday night. The discussion took place at a South Fulton town hall about the company's license plate…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions