María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will DHS submit a final OPT fee rule to OIRA this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
11%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 11% on Oct 19, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 421 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OIRA
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FDA Proposed Rule on Infant Formula Nutrient Requirements Advances to OIRA ReviewThe U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) proposed rule on infant formula nutrient requirements has advanced to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) for review. According to the OIRA docket, the proposal… -
EEOC Sends OIRA Final Rule Rescinding Uniform Guidelines on Employee Selection ProceduresOn October 16, 2026, the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) requested that the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) review a final rule rescinding the interpretive portions of the EEOC’s version of the…
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Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance▲ 1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 19, 2027even chance by
- October 314%
- November 3034%▲ 1
- December 3162%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions