Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
The odds
10%chance▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 19, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | ▲ 2 | 7¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 4.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AI model, artificial intelligence
Search ›-
Innovation in Digital Surgery: Artificial Intelligence Across the Surgical Care Pathwaynpj Digital Surgery has APC waivers available that can be allocated upon acceptance on an ad-hoc basis. For additional information, contact the Journal Publisher, Tony Chen. Computer vision: Vision-language models applied to a wide variety… -
AI models are changing how forecasters predict the paths of hurricanesAI models are transforming hurricane forecasting. They provided some of the most accurate predictions of the track of Hurricane Isaias. AI models are changing how forecasters predict the paths of hurricanes AI models are transforming… -
Astana Hub and Ghent University Open a Joint Artificial Intelligence and Mathematics LaboratoryAs part of the AI Labs concept, Astana Hub and Ghent University (Belgium) are opening a joint Artificial Intelligence and Mathematics Laboratory at Alem.ai. The laboratory will bring together scientists from both countries to conduct joint… -
Reflection AI CEO confronts the risks of artificial intelligence: ‘It certainly worries me’Fox Business Reflection AI CEO confronts the risks of artificial intelligence: ‘It certainly worries me’ Reflection AI CEO Misha Laskin discusses the release of the open-weight AI model 'Beam,' the company's valuation, and reports of… -
University of Chicago Launches New Master’s in Applied Artificial IntelligenceThe Data Science Institute (DSI) executes the University of Chicago’s bold, innovative vision of Data Science as a new discipline. Open faculty, postdoctoral, staff, and student roles with the UChicago Data Science Institute and our… -
Not Anthropic. Not OpenAI. This Is the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock I'd Buy Before the Next Mega-IPO.The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution has produced two of the fastest-growing start-ups in history. OpenAI burst onto the scene in late 2022 when it launched ChatGPT, introducing consumers around the world to generative AI… -
Trump Officially Replaces the Term “Artificial Intelligence” with “Superintelligence”The European Times US President Donald Trumpâwho generally opposes any regulatory restrictions on the development of artificial intelligenceâstated during a meeting with executives from companies in the sector that âself-regulation… -
Artificial Intelligence at Work and in Everyday Life: Learn with Diya.EducationArtificial intelligence is becoming an effective tool for optimizing workflows, processing information, and developing digital skills. To learn how to use AI effectively and responsibly, we invite you to explore a selection of free… -
Indigenous Peoples' Digital Data and Artificial IntelligenceAvispa Midia Indigenous Peoples’ Digital Data and Artificial Intelligence Translated by Schools for Chiapas in collaboration with Avispa Mídia Indigenous peoples have been able to define the scope of their territory, which extends beyond… -
Abiologics Appoints Per Jr. Greisen as Chief Artificial Intelligence OfficerThe Manila Times Abiologics Appoints Per Jr. Greisen as Chief Artificial Intelligence Officer AI protein design pioneer joins to advance first and only platform for de novo generation of synthetic D-protein therapeutics with supranatural… -
Migo Robot exhibits embodied artificial intelligence at Hong Kong fairRobotics developer Migo Robot presented its companion hardware platform at the Hong Kong Electronics Fair Autumn Edition, demonstrating consumer applications for embodied artificial intelligence systems. Migo Robot exhibits embodied… -
Use the VAIBreaker tool to assess the security of artificial intelligenceTECNALIA has developed a tool called VAIBreaker to assess the robustness of artificial intelligence models and analyse how they respond to threats that could compromise the way they work. Artificial intelligence is transforming sectors…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions