Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
97%chance▼ 1
Install
Will New York tax QSBS gains? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
7%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 19, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York, QSBS
Search ›-
New York archdiocese finalizing $800m settlement with clergy sex abuse survivorsAgreement with more than 1,300 victims of clergy members and lay leaders would resolve long legal fight The Catholic archdiocese of New York is finalizing a settlement for at least $800m with more than 1,300 people who said they were… -
First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26CBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26 First Alert Weather: Near normal temps Saturday in New York… -
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Archdiocese of New York agrees to $800 million settlement over sexual abuse claimsSt. Patrick's Cathedral in Manhattan, the seat of the Archdiocese of New York, holds mass on April 21, 2025, in New York. Yuki Iwamura/AP hide caption The Archdiocese of New York has agreed to pay $800 million to settle the claims brought… -
Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
New York’s union-loving Board of Regents is wrecking our schools — let’s scrap itNew York State’s education system is in steep decline. Enrollment is down, but spending is up, and academic results are either stagnant or declining. It’s time to reform our system of governance by axing the Board of Regents and giving the… -
New York on pace to lose 1 congressional seat in 2022As the numbers stand now, there would need to be a very sudden shift in population for New York’s total to be anything but 26 seats in the decade following the 2022 reapportionment. | Carlos Osorio/AP 12/21/2017 05:02 AM EST ALBANY — It’s… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Dalton Knecht lands with the New York Knicks on a two-way dealDalton Knecht's frustrating time with the Los Angeles Lakers has come to an end. The team waived Knecht earlier this week, finally freeing the former Tennessee Volunteer to explore better opportunities. On Friday, he found one with the… -
America’s billionaire boom: Florida gains on New York as California dominates top 10Florida is minting billionaires at a blistering pace — and is now just 15 deep pockets away from overtaking the Empire State. But ahead of No. 2 New York and No. 3 Florida, California still reigns supreme as the land of billionaires with… -
New York Giants' John Harbaugh explains decision to release Najee HarrisNew York Giants head coach John Harbaugh explained the decision to release running back Najee Harris as a matter of roster direction rather than production. The move came after Harris had been with the team for a short period. Harbaugh…
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal? (Before Feb 1, 2027)
55%chance▲ 6
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? (Before 2027)
5%Before 2027
- Before 20275%▼ 1
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
35%chance▼ 14
Will any state enact a data center moratorium law? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
May 2, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202735%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202757%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202890%▼ 1
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
46%Denver
- Denver46%▲ 3
- Boston26%▲ 1
- Philadelphia25%▼ 3
2 more
- Atlanta3%
- Chicago2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions