Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance
Install
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
The odds
6%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 42.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mamdani
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Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in BrooklynNew York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to rally voters on the campaign trail in Brooklyn. WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in Brooklyn New York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York… -
Mamdani accused of ‘openly helping illegal aliens evade ICE’ in Spanish language videoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani sparked outrage Friday when he unveiled a social media video where the socialist shared tips in Spanish on how the public should handle encounters with federal immigration authorities. “If you encounter… -
NYC business leader blasts Mamdani over alleged ‘army of influencers'Steve Fulop joins Stuart Varney to criticize Zohran Mamdani over his legislative record and mayoral campaign platform. Fulop argues that Mamdani's policies are anti-business and threaten New York City's economic recovery. The discussion… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as Mamdani appears to bypass him in voting lineA New Yorker shouted out "the mayor cut me!" after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani appeared to skip the queue to cast his ballot in early voting at the New York Metropolitan Museum on Saturday. New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as… -
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
Brooklyn groups rally against Mamdani-backed ballot measure and demand halt to bike, bus lanesBrooklyn community groups are urging voters to reject Proposal 3, a Mayor Zohran Mamdani-backed charter change on the Nov. 3 ballot that would make it harder to stop street redesigns. The coalition of 11 groups, led by Brooklyn for All of… - Blakeman amps up gubernational bid with three NYC stops, jabs Mamdani-Hochul allianceRepublican Bruce Blakeman hit three corners of NYC to deliver his affordability message Saturday as his gubernatorial bid reached the final stretch, jabbing opponent Gov. Kathy Hochul and “anti-American” Mayor Zohran Mamdani along the way…
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Mamdani loves Arsenal. He should challenge them to cut ties with the UAE over SudanThe New York mayor’s passion for the Gunners and human rights presents an opportunity to push back on the club’s lucrative UAE sponsorship Like him or not, there is no doubt that New York mayor Zohran Mamdani’s passion for certain issues… -
Trump Slams Mamdani Ban on NYC’s Horse-Drawn Carriages: ‘Great Tradition’Oct 22, 2026 at 07:28 PM EDT President Donald Trump on Thursday called the horse-drawn carriage rides in New York City a "quintessential" experience as the City Council passed legislation to phase them out of Gotham. The vote comes after…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.