Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3 (policies in force in Q3 2026)
The odds
337,200median
325,000355,000
Median 337,200Middle half 333,191 – 341,053
How the odds have moved
Median: 337,179 on Oct 19, 337,200 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 330000 | 90% | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 272 | |
| Above 335000 | 67% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 534 |
| Above 340000 | 29% | ▲ 3 | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 442 |
| Above 345000 | 10% | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 560 | |
| Above 350000 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 350 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Neptune Insurance
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 (average passenger fare in Q3 2026)
$230.13median
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Median $230.13Middle half $225.56 – $233.47
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96.5median
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Median 96.5Middle half 94.1 – 98.1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.